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ENERGYGPS is a leading energy analysis and consulting firm.

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Energy industry professionals (traders, project developers, utilities, private equity firms, information managers, policy professionals and non-profits) use our analysis to help them make the most informed decisions they can. Explore our product offerings, consulting services, or learn more about Energy GPS.

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Webinar Series
Video seminars discussing issues in Power and Natural Gas markets.
 
Special Research Reports
In-depth analysis on the most significant developments in the energy space.
Saturday Nov 16, 2019   
A battery can sell three types of products: resource adequacy (RA), ancillary services , and energy. RA revenue is a function of the capacity market rules (e.g., size of battery and duration), and is generally procured on a monthly or annual basis. As such, RA value is not directly impacted by short term energy and ancillary prices or dispatch. Ancillary services, especially regulating reserves, are currently profitable, but the market for them is very small compared to the size of the energy market. In the CAISO, for example, the current regulating reserve market is about 300 MW of “reg up” and 300 MW of “reg down.” Historically, the regulating reserve market was served by flexible hydro and natural gas. » learn more
Saturday Oct 12, 2019   
This past January, ERCOT implemented the first part of scarcity price policy revisions from the Public Utility Commission of Texas. These changes, affecting the Operating Reserve Demand Curve adder (ORDC), were set to take place in two phases: at the beginning of 2019 and 2020. This past April, EGPS discussed the proposed first change and how it might affect ERCOT pricing. Now, at the end of the summer, it’s time to look ahead at the upcoming second change. This article presents an analysis where the frequency and level of ORDC adders is calculated using defined adjustments. We compute expected adjustments based on the known change to the ORDC adder coming March 2020 (Phase 2 adder) as well as some expected change to the net resource mix..... » learn more
Friday Oct 4, 2019   
The ‘Sumas Story’ started years ago when cold winter days in the Pacific Northwest had to compete with Northeast winter demand as AECO was the marginal molecule. This created a lively market that saw both Sumas and AGT cash gas prices shoot through the moon. As the grid was going through its evolution of pipeline expansions (REX) and on-shore production, the leverage of AECO diminished to a point that Sumas went to the wayside while AGT was still privy to the winter price spikes. Almost a year ago to the day of writing this report, the Pacific Northwest got a jolt (no pun intended) as the 36 inch Enbridge pipeline near Shelley, BC exploded with a ball of fire that was seen for miles...... » learn more
Thursday May 16, 2019   
EnergyGPS slides from the "Third Annual Northwest Wholesale Power Markets: Transition in Progress" conference by Newsdata LLC and CJB Energy. We explore the power demand, supply, and price conditions in the Pacific Northwest and California markets. » learn more
  
When it comes to Carbon Markets in the region, the Washington State had an initiative on the ballot a couple of years ago that had some traction but did not get over 50% allocated yes votes it needed to pass. Since that time, the groups that support a Carbon Market in the Pacific Northwest, specifically Washington, have put together another proposal that is known as Initiative 1631 and it is on the upcoming ballet on November 6th , 2018. » learn more
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Daily Newsletter
A daily brief covering variety of energy topics. Subscribe now to receive our newsletter to your inbox.
Friday Feb 28, 2020   
As the new year progresses, it is always interesting to take a year-to-date comparison to last year to see how the prospects for CAISO solar are shaping up this year. There are so many moving parts with more solar being added to the grid, changing hydro conditions, changing natural gas prices, and ... » read more
Thursday Feb 27, 2020   
Every year, there is a time at the beginning of February when 'Phil', the groundhog, is taken out of its little nesting place to figure out its shadow situation.  This is known across the country as Groundhog Day where people gather around in Punxsutawney for the annual event. If the groundhog ... » read more
Wednesday Feb 26, 2020   
Over a couple of decades, you can clearly see how the recycle movement has made an impact in behaviors of humans throughout the world.  If you live in the Portland Metro area, we have gone as far as eliminating plactic bags that were common when getting groceries or ordering from a fast ... » read more
Tuesday Feb 25, 2020   
Each month the EIA puts out their Drilling Productivity Report. In the publication they detail current and forecasted production along with a count of drilled but uncompleted wells (DUC) across the Lower 48. These DUC wells are available in the producer inventory for extracting natural gas. » read more
Monday Feb 24, 2020   
Growing up in the rural parts of the Midwest exposes one to alot of things that culture you in a way that is a little different than if you lived in a metropolitan city your entire life.  For example, depending on the day of week, there was always some sort of sporting league that was in play ... » read more
Friday Feb 21, 2020   
FERC got a scoop on March Madness, with its “MOPR Madness”—a four-pack of orders issued yesterday (2/20/2020) that collectively increase the scope of resources subject to minimum offer price floors, or MOPRs. NY’s capacity market is run two times a year, once for each of the ... » read more
Thursday Feb 20, 2020   
The New England long term forward capacity auction (FCA) results were posted a couple of weeks ago with the current 2022-2023 period continuing what would be considered a downward trend over the past five years.  Looking at the table below, you can see this trend clearly as the 2016 ... » read more
Wednesday Feb 19, 2020   
Over the past week or so, the Lower 48 has experienced two/three day periods of colder weather wrapped around some above normal temperatures.  For example, two weeks ago Denver was basking in 70 degree daytime highs only to be met with 36 inches of snow in the mountains and the airport getting ... » read more
Tuesday Feb 18, 2020   
SoCal Gas has a problem and it is not the same issue they have faced since the Aliso Canyon rupture in 2015. Because of the early season efforts to conserve storage usage as per the Aliso Canyon Usage Protocols and a lack of heating load the system is now faced with an abundance of in ground ... » read more
Friday Feb 14, 2020   
We spend a lot of time thinking about renewable energy risk here at the Energy GPS headquarters. Wholesale price risk is driven by the overall level of natural gas prices, the market clearing heat rates in the various wholesale markets, and the shape premium or discount that wind and solar enjoy ... » read more
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Newsletter Power and Gas Articles
 Article | Winter Storage Purchase  
 Monthly | The Golden State Purchase  
 Article | Super Supply Purchase  
 Article | S(OS)PP Distressed? Purchase  
 Article | Renewable Gas Exposure Purchase  
 Article | Basis Story Part 2 - The North... Purchase  
 Article | Which hat are you wearing? Purchase  
 Article | O Christmas Tree Purchase  
 Monthly | The Learning Curve Purchase  
 Article | Monte Carlo Purchase  
 Article | The Gift that Keeps on Giving Purchase  
 Monthly | Lion's Road vs. Cat's Meow Purchase  
 Article | Wish List Tied to Solar Purchase  
 Article | The Desert Basis Story Purchase  
 Article | Mini Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Report | Battery Modeling using the TB4 Purchase  
 Report | Shouldering the Load Purchase  
 Monthly | Trick or Treating in the Weeds Purchase  
 Article | Some PJM Pain for Some Gain Purchase  
 Article | Google Renewable Auction Purchase  
 Article | Zooming Out on US Renewables Purchase  
 Report | ERCOT's Push and Pull Purchase  
 Article | The Constraint of the Day Purchase  
 Article | PacificParadigm Purchase  
 Monthly | Regional Sandboxes Purchase  
 Report | The Sumas Story Purchase  
 Article | Headed for retirement...CAISO Purchase  
 Article | Upcoming Flex Needed in the West Purchase  
 Article | What will the grid look like....? Purchase  
 Monthly | Everything is big in Texas Purchase  
 Article | Back to School in the West Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Evolution Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Renewables - Looking For... Purchase  
 Article | Profit Shaping - ERCOT Renewables Purchase  
 Article | Partly Cloudy with a chance of? Purchase  
 Monthly | Three Days in ERCOT Purchase  
 Article | Summer Chill Purchase  
 Article | Brew Fest Purchase  
 Article | SoCal Gas Summer Fundamentals Purchase  
 Article | Cap and Trade Tightness? Purchase  
 Article | The Storage Story - Chapter 2 Purchase  
 Article | Officially Summer? Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Storage Story Purchase  
 Monthly | Renewed Interest in the Renewa... Purchase  
 Article | Champion of the Energy Sector Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Reliability Percentages Purchase  
 Monthly | Flowers in May? Purchase  
 Article | Hydro doing these days? Purchase  
 Article | California's Summer Balance Purchase  
 Article | Opportunity Comes in Many Forms Purchase  
 Article | Renewable CCA Purchase  
 Article | The Pick Is In..... Purchase  
 Article | Changes in ERCOT Scarcity Pricing Purchase  
 Monthly | Swinging for the Fence Purchase  
 Article | The Waha Squeeze Play Purchase  
 Article | Seriously, how do batteries ma... Purchase  
 Article | The Power of Price in the Burns Purchase  
 Article | Power On......  
 Report | End of Winter Season - NG Balance Purchase  
 Article | The Storage (Battery) Story Purchase  
 Monthly | The Pacific Northwest Acronym ... Purchase  
 Article | The New EIM Market Purchase  
 Article | The Hydro Bed Purchase  
 Article | Alberta's Growing Demand Purchase  
 Report | Ruby or Not Ruby? Purchase  
 Article | The Pomona Battery Purchase  
 Monthly | Whacky Weather and Wind Purchase  
 Article | Timing Is Everything Purchase  
 Article | Natural Gas Balancing Act Purchase  
 Article | Deep Purple - Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Article | Not Any More!!!!! Purchase  
 Article | Significance of December 27th,... Purchase  
 Monthly | Tis the Season Purchase  
 Article | California - What a Year???!!! Purchase  
 Article | West Returning to the Danger Z... Purchase  
 Article | The 'Eyes of Texas' on Wind Purchase  
 Monthly | 'Fro-Vember' Purchase  
 Article | Trend is your Friend Purchase  
 Report | MISO’s Excess/Deficient Deviati... Purchase  
 Article | Sumas heading into Xmas Purchase  
 Article | Summer SoCal in November and B... Purchase  
 Article | Centralized Capacity Market De... Purchase  
 Monthly | The Battle Royale Purchase  
 Article | Coal Retirements and Natural G... Purchase  
 Article | Mother Nature, did you see tha...  
 Article | SOS - Sumas Over SoCal Purchase  
 Article | The West Playground Purchase  
 Monthly | Hunting for Red October  
 Article | The 2017-2018 Water Year in a ...  
 Article | The Severity of Florence Purchase  
 Article | Two Discussion Points Around S... Purchase  
 Article | US Open Heat Event Purchase  
 Monthly | Two out of Three Completed Purchase  
 Article | Now there are Two!!! Purchase  
 Article | A Breath Of Fresh Air Purchase  
 Article | The Motion Purchase  
 Article | Early August 2018 Purchase  
 Article | Winners and Losers Tied to the... Purchase  
 Monthly | Is the Best Pitch a Heater , C... Purchase  
 Article | The Dog Days of Summer Purchase  
 Article | Hear That Music? Purchase  
 Article | Powering the Gas Markets in th... Purchase  
 Article | LeHeat in LA Purchase  
 Article | Heat of the Moment Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT, A Healthy Supply Stack.... Purchase  
 Monthly | A Quarter for Your Thoughts Purchase  
 Article | PJM's Capacity Performance Obl... Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Market Report Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Price Spike Purchase  
 Article | Weather or Hot (Cold) Purchase  
 Monthly | Summer Right Around the Corner Purchase  
 Article | Play Me Some Mountain Music Purchase  
 Article | The Heat is On (the ERCOT Stack) Purchase  
 Article | What is your CCV code West Power? Purchase  
 Article | Basis of Natural Gas's Existence Purchase  
 Article | Tensions Rising in Southern Ca... Purchase  
 Article | Welcome Back BPA Curtailments Purchase  
 Article | Wind, Where Have You Gone? Purchase  
 Article | MayDay - Curtailments Purchase  
 Monthly | April Cold Brings May? Purchase  
 Article | A Look at the Renewable Landscape  
 Article | The 'basis' of SoCal Citygate'... Purchase  
 Article | Alberta Power's Mid-Month Update  
 Article | Expect the Unexpected - SPP Wi...  
 Article | Virtual Tour with Mother Nature  
 Article | The Fools Fool  
 Monthly | April Fooling  
 Article | The CAISO's Big Three  
 Article | That Pesky Groundhog!!!  
 Article | Track the Tracker  
 Monthly | A Tale of Two Cities.....  
 Article | Central Vertical Corridor  
 Article | Sneak Preview of CAISO Curtail...  
 Article | Storage 1,2,3  
 Article | Glimpse of what is to come in ...  
 Monthly | Back to Where We Belong???  
 Article | Armageddon in February Across ...  
 Article | Digging in the South Central R...  
 Article | What is going on with Power Burns  
 Monthly | SoCal Citygate Hype??.  
 Monthly | I Just Cleaned This Mess!  
 Monthly | Constraints Everywhere?..  
 Article | Keeping an Eye on the Fundamen...  
 Monthly | A Dry/Warm October  
 Monthly | The Fall Classic  
 Article | AECO, the Red October  
 Article | SCEeeee What is Happening with...  
 Article | Snap, Crackle and Pop  
 Article | Heated Curtailments  
 Article | What Becomes of the CAISO Supp...  
 Article | AECO, watching out below!!  
 Monthly | Storm Chaser  
 Monthly | H(arvey), I(rma), J???  
 Monthly | Blink  
 Monthly | Cash is King  
 Monthly | Texas Blowhard  
 Monthly | Wagon Queen Family Truckster  
 Monthly | May Flowers?  
 Monthly | The Dog Days of Winter  
 Monthly | Convicted  
 Monthly | Spread It On!  
 Monthly | Cold meet Precipitation  
 Monthly | The ICE in the Dog Bowl  
 Monthly | Emperor's New Clothes  
 Article | What have we learned from Alis...  

Product Publications and Alerts
 
Recent Reports RSS Icon
 NG New England - 2020-02-29  5:30 AM 
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 CAISO SCE vs Wind 2020-03-04  5:29 AM 
 NG Rockies - 2020-02-29  5:29 AM 
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 NG Midwest Central - 2020-0...  5:26 AM 
 NG Midcont - 2020-02-29  5:25 AM 
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 eDash: Gas Burn CA - 2020-0...  5:00 AM 
 eDash: Gas Burn PJM - 2020-...  5:00 AM 
 eDash: Gas Burn DSW - 2020-...  5:00 AM 
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 EGPS Short Term Hydro Forec...  4:37 AM 
 eFlash: PJM Load Forecast U...  4:30 AM 
 PJM Load Charts 2020-03-06  4:30 AM 
 WECC Load Table 2020-03-07  4:26 AM 
 NG Mexican Exports - 2020-0...  4:22 AM 
 NG MX Sistran Table - 2020-...  4:16 AM 
 eDash: PNW Daily Dashboard...  4:16 AM 
 eFlash: NYISO Load Forecast...  4:15 AM 
 NYISO Load Charts 2020-03-06  4:15 AM 
 EGPS CAISO Wind MW Forecast...  4:07 AM 
 AESO DA LMP Prices 2020-02-28  4:03 AM 
 AGT Pipeline Balance - 2020...  4:01 AM 
 NG Pwr Burn West - Pipeline...  4:01 AM 
 NG Pwr Burn West 2020-02-29  4:01 AM 
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 PNW Daily Generation Charts...  3:45 AM 
 eDash: PNW Hydro Elevations...  3:40 AM 
 West | Spark Prices 2020-02-23  3:36 AM 
 EGPS NYISO Wind MW Forecast...  3:33 AM 
 Liquified Natural Gas (LNG)...  3:32 AM 
 NG US Supply/(Demand) Summa...  3:32 AM 
 CAISO EIM Summary - 2020-02-28  3:32 AM 
 HDD/CDD Gas Demand BCF Tabl...  3:26 AM 
 EGPS Mid-Range Hydro Foreca...  3:19 AM 
 NG Regional Demand Forecast...  3:15 AM 
 NG North America Production...  3:11 AM 
 NG Power Burns - 2020-02-29  3:11 AM 
 ERCOT Daily Summary - 2020-...  3:10 AM 
 NG Power Loads - 2020-02-29  3:09 AM 
 North America Net Load Summ...  3:09 AM 
 SPP Daily Summary - 2020-02-29  3:09 AM 
 eFlash: ISONE Load Forecast...  3:05 AM 
 ISONE Load Charts 2020-03-05  3:05 AM 
 Alberta Power Pool Daily Su...  3:04 AM 
 eDash: Transmission Flows 2...  3:01 AM 
 NG California Demand Breako...  2:40 AM 
 EGPS PJM Wind MW Forecast 2...  1:47 AM 
 PNW Snow Water Dashboard 20...  1:03 AM 
 Snow Water Dashboard 2020-0...  1:03 AM 
 Snow Water Dashboard 2020-0...  1:03 AM 
 SWE Sorted Plot Columbia 20...  1:03 AM 
 SWE Sorted Plot CRWMG 2020-...  1:03 AM 
 SPP Renewables Curtailment ...  1:02 AM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 202...  1:00 AM 
 NG Kern Supply/Demand Table...  12:13 AM 
 ERCOT Real-Time Dashboard 2...  12:01 AM 
 ERCOT System Msg - Active 0...  Feb 28 10:22 PM 
 Snow Water Maps 2020-02-28  Feb 28 10:13 PM 
 Option Settles 2020-02-27  Feb 28 5:58 PM 
 NG Coal to Gas Ratio  Feb 28 5:31 PM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 202...  Feb 28 5:00 PM 
 EGPS Hydro Forecast for WY2...  Feb 28 4:38 PM 
 PNW Hydro Report and Discus...  Feb 28 4:38 PM 
 NG DTI Supply/Demand Table ...  Feb 28 4:08 PM 
 CAISO 1515 Outage 2020-02-28  Feb 28 3:15 PM 
 eFlash: NWRFC ESP by Basin ...  Feb 28 2:33 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (GCDW1) 20...  Feb 28 2:33 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (LGDW1) 20...  Feb 28 2:33 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (TDAO3) 20...  Feb 28 2:33 PM 
 NG STOP Report - TCPL 2020-...  Feb 28 2:20 PM 
 SPP DA LMP Prices 2020-02-29  Feb 28 1:04 PM 
 COT Report 2020-02-25  Feb 28 12:31 PM 
 Nymex Settles 2020-02-28 - ...  Feb 28 12:31 PM 
 CAISO DA Hourly LMP Histogr...  Feb 28 12:15 PM 
 CAISO LMP Prices with SP 20...  Feb 28 12:15 PM 
 CAISO SPTIE LMP 2020-02-29  Feb 28 12:15 PM 
 CAISO Transmission Market 2...  Feb 28 12:15 PM 
 CAISO DA Market Summary 202...  Feb 28 12:12 PM 
 CAISO SCE vs Wind 2020-02-29  Feb 28 12:12 PM