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Webinar Series
Video seminars discussing issues in Power and Natural Gas markets.
 
Special Research Reports
In-depth analysis on the most significant developments in the energy space.
Saturday Nov 16, 2019   
A battery can sell three types of products: resource adequacy (RA), ancillary services , and energy. RA revenue is a function of the capacity market rules (e.g., size of battery and duration), and is generally procured on a monthly or annual basis. As such, RA value is not directly impacted by short term energy and ancillary prices or dispatch. Ancillary services, especially regulating reserves, are currently profitable, but the market for them is very small compared to the size of the energy market. In the CAISO, for example, the current regulating reserve market is about 300 MW of “reg up” and 300 MW of “reg down.” Historically, the regulating reserve market was served by flexible hydro and natural gas. » learn more
Saturday Oct 12, 2019   
This past January, ERCOT implemented the first part of scarcity price policy revisions from the Public Utility Commission of Texas. These changes, affecting the Operating Reserve Demand Curve adder (ORDC), were set to take place in two phases: at the beginning of 2019 and 2020. This past April, EGPS discussed the proposed first change and how it might affect ERCOT pricing. Now, at the end of the summer, it’s time to look ahead at the upcoming second change. This article presents an analysis where the frequency and level of ORDC adders is calculated using defined adjustments. We compute expected adjustments based on the known change to the ORDC adder coming March 2020 (Phase 2 adder) as well as some expected change to the net resource mix..... » learn more
Friday Oct 4, 2019   
The ‘Sumas Story’ started years ago when cold winter days in the Pacific Northwest had to compete with Northeast winter demand as AECO was the marginal molecule. This created a lively market that saw both Sumas and AGT cash gas prices shoot through the moon. As the grid was going through its evolution of pipeline expansions (REX) and on-shore production, the leverage of AECO diminished to a point that Sumas went to the wayside while AGT was still privy to the winter price spikes. Almost a year ago to the day of writing this report, the Pacific Northwest got a jolt (no pun intended) as the 36 inch Enbridge pipeline near Shelley, BC exploded with a ball of fire that was seen for miles...... » learn more
Thursday May 16, 2019   
EnergyGPS slides from the "Third Annual Northwest Wholesale Power Markets: Transition in Progress" conference by Newsdata LLC and CJB Energy. We explore the power demand, supply, and price conditions in the Pacific Northwest and California markets. » learn more
  
When it comes to Carbon Markets in the region, the Washington State had an initiative on the ballot a couple of years ago that had some traction but did not get over 50% allocated yes votes it needed to pass. Since that time, the groups that support a Carbon Market in the Pacific Northwest, specifically Washington, have put together another proposal that is known as Initiative 1631 and it is on the upcoming ballet on November 6th , 2018. » learn more
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Daily Newsletter
A daily brief covering variety of energy topics. Subscribe now to receive our newsletter to your inbox.
Friday Nov 15, 2019   
Last week we framed the battery question in terms of dollars per MWh that would have to be earned in order to make the math work. Today's blog highlights the valuation techniques and results of battery optimization, whereas the EnergyGPS Special Report, titled 'Battery Modeling Using the TB4' ... » read more
Thursday Nov 14, 2019   
In football, there are a handful of teams that always seem to walk into the month of November with this notion of not winning a game all season.  The Miami Dolphins came to mind in late October as they were actually winless in their first 7 games but have rallied to win 2 in a row.  The ... » read more
Wednesday Nov 13, 2019   
Over the past few weeks, there has been a lot of chatter about the wildfires in California and the rolling blackout plan implemented by PGAE to mitigate equipment risk that has been deemed the cause of fires in previous years.  As part of the EnergyGPS West Power and Natural Gas product ... » read more
Tuesday Nov 12, 2019   
Over the past three weeks we have noticed a material change in the Alberta natural gas demand. This is highly unusual. Thanks to the build out in oil sands and a growing population the province has been booming for decades. In some years we have seen as much as a 1 BCF per day gain in the ... » read more
Friday Nov 8, 2019   
If my computer screen was a television, you’d think that I have been binge watching the Storage Channel! You know, that new channel that everyone is talking about that includes stand-alone battery storage, solar plus storage, pump storage hydro, and even pushing trains uphill and harnessing ... » read more
Thursday Nov 7, 2019   
Over the past few weeks, the conversation around renewables has picked up in both the West and in SPP/ERCOT where the former is tied to the lack of output during the cold period in the Pacific Northwest and Santa Anna winds in California.  The latter continues to be around how much more ... » read more
Wednesday Nov 6, 2019   
As we start to move into the heart of winter, I thought it would be worthwhile to step back and take a look at how the renewable profiles in ERCOT are shaking out in Q4.  As we have documented in other blogs, articles and monthly reports, ERCOT is the front-runner when it comes to wind ... » read more
Tuesday Nov 5, 2019   
The Lower 48 natural gas production has recently moved to a new high of 95.4 BCF. That is up 6.6 BCF from last year with a good portion of the gains coming as a by product of the crude production stream in the Permian Basin. Because the infrastructure in the Permian is mainly dedicated to the crude ... » read more
Monday Nov 4, 2019   
For some time now, we have been discussing the power demand profile within CAISO's footprint as the renewable mandate over the years has netted what we consider a double hump profile.  The double hump occurs since most of the new renewable capacity comes in the form of both behind the meter ... » read more
Friday Nov 1, 2019   
If you have been in the electricity sector for some time, there are several revolving concepts and topics that always seem to pop up for discussion and/or debate depending on the time of year or circumstances around a specific market.  One of those topics is the 'Capacity Market' within each ... » read more
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Newsletter Power and Gas Articles
 Article | Mini Arctic Blast  
 Report | Battery Modeling using the TB4 Purchase  
 Report | Shouldering the Load Purchase  
 Monthly | Trick or Treating in the Weeds Purchase  
 Article | Some PJM Pain for Some Gain Purchase  
 Article | Google Renewable Auction Purchase  
 Article | Zooming Out on US Renewables Purchase  
 Report | ERCOT's Push and Pull Purchase  
 Article | The Constraint of the Day Purchase  
 Article | PacificParadigm Purchase  
 Monthly | Regional Sandboxes Purchase  
 Report | The Sumas Story Purchase  
 Article | Headed for retirement...CAISO Purchase  
 Article | Upcoming Flex Needed in the West Purchase  
 Article | What will the grid look like....? Purchase  
 Monthly | Everything is big in Texas Purchase  
 Article | Back to School in the West Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Evolution Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Renewables - Looking For... Purchase  
 Article | Profit Shaping - ERCOT Renewables Purchase  
 Article | Partly Cloudy with a chance of? Purchase  
 Monthly | Three Days in ERCOT Purchase  
 Article | Summer Chill Purchase  
 Article | Brew Fest Purchase  
 Article | SoCal Gas Summer Fundamentals Purchase  
 Article | Cap and Trade Tightness? Purchase  
 Article | The Storage Story - Chapter 2 Purchase  
 Article | Officially Summer? Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Storage Story Purchase  
 Monthly | Renewed Interest in the Renewa... Purchase  
 Article | Champion of the Energy Sector Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Reliability Percentages Purchase  
 Monthly | Flowers in May? Purchase  
 Article | Hydro doing these days? Purchase  
 Article | California's Summer Balance Purchase  
 Article | Opportunity Comes in Many Forms Purchase  
 Article | Renewable CCA Purchase  
 Article | The Pick Is In..... Purchase  
 Article | Changes in ERCOT Scarcity Pricing Purchase  
 Monthly | Swinging for the Fence Purchase  
 Article | The Waha Squeeze Play Purchase  
 Article | Seriously, how do batteries ma... Purchase  
 Article | The Power of Price in the Burns Purchase  
 Article | Power On......  
 Report | End of Winter Season - NG Balance Purchase  
 Article | The Storage (Battery) Story Purchase  
 Monthly | The Pacific Northwest Acronym ... Purchase  
 Article | The New EIM Market Purchase  
 Article | The Hydro Bed Purchase  
 Article | Alberta's Growing Demand Purchase  
 Report | Ruby or Not Ruby? Purchase  
 Article | The Pomona Battery Purchase  
 Monthly | Whacky Weather and Wind Purchase  
 Article | Timing Is Everything Purchase  
 Article | Natural Gas Balancing Act Purchase  
 Article | Deep Purple - Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Article | Not Any More!!!!! Purchase  
 Article | Significance of December 27th,... Purchase  
 Monthly | Tis the Season Purchase  
 Article | California - What a Year???!!! Purchase  
 Article | West Returning to the Danger Z... Purchase  
 Article | The 'Eyes of Texas' on Wind Purchase  
 Monthly | 'Fro-Vember' Purchase  
 Article | Trend is your Friend Purchase  
 Report | MISO’s Excess/Deficient Deviati... Purchase  
 Article | Sumas heading into Xmas Purchase  
 Article | Summer SoCal in November and B... Purchase  
 Article | Centralized Capacity Market De... Purchase  
 Monthly | The Battle Royale Purchase  
 Article | Coal Retirements and Natural G... Purchase  
 Article | Mother Nature, did you see tha...  
 Article | SOS - Sumas Over SoCal Purchase  
 Article | The West Playground Purchase  
 Monthly | Hunting for Red October  
 Article | The 2017-2018 Water Year in a ...  
 Article | The Severity of Florence Purchase  
 Article | Two Discussion Points Around S... Purchase  
 Article | US Open Heat Event Purchase  
 Monthly | Two out of Three Completed Purchase  
 Article | Now there are Two!!! Purchase  
 Article | A Breath Of Fresh Air Purchase  
 Article | The Motion Purchase  
 Article | Early August 2018 Purchase  
 Article | Winners and Losers Tied to the... Purchase  
 Monthly | Is the Best Pitch a Heater , C... Purchase  
 Article | The Dog Days of Summer Purchase  
 Article | Hear That Music? Purchase  
 Article | Powering the Gas Markets in th... Purchase  
 Article | LeHeat in LA Purchase  
 Article | Heat of the Moment Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT, A Healthy Supply Stack.... Purchase  
 Monthly | A Quarter for Your Thoughts Purchase  
 Article | PJM's Capacity Performance Obl... Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Market Report Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Price Spike Purchase  
 Article | Weather or Hot (Cold) Purchase  
 Monthly | Summer Right Around the Corner Purchase  
 Article | Play Me Some Mountain Music Purchase  
 Article | The Heat is On (the ERCOT Stack) Purchase  
 Article | What is your CCV code West Power? Purchase  
 Article | Basis of Natural Gas's Existence Purchase  
 Article | Tensions Rising in Southern Ca... Purchase  
 Article | Welcome Back BPA Curtailments Purchase  
 Article | Wind, Where Have You Gone? Purchase  
 Article | MayDay - Curtailments Purchase  
 Monthly | April Cold Brings May? Purchase  
 Article | A Look at the Renewable Landscape  
 Article | The 'basis' of SoCal Citygate'... Purchase  
 Article | Alberta Power's Mid-Month Update  
 Article | Expect the Unexpected - SPP Wi...  
 Article | Virtual Tour with Mother Nature  
 Article | The Fools Fool  
 Monthly | April Fooling  
 Article | The CAISO's Big Three  
 Article | That Pesky Groundhog!!!  
 Article | Track the Tracker  
 Monthly | A Tale of Two Cities.....  
 Article | Central Vertical Corridor  
 Article | Sneak Preview of CAISO Curtail...  
 Article | Storage 1,2,3  
 Article | Glimpse of what is to come in ...  
 Monthly | Back to Where We Belong???  
 Article | Armageddon in February Across ...  
 Article | Digging in the South Central R...  
 Article | What is going on with Power Burns  
 Monthly | SoCal Citygate Hype??.  
 Monthly | Constraints Everywhere?..  
 Monthly | I Just Cleaned This Mess!  
 Article | Keeping an Eye on the Fundamen...  
 Monthly | The Fall Classic  
 Monthly | A Dry/Warm October  
 Article | AECO, the Red October  
 Article | SCEeeee What is Happening with...  
 Article | Snap, Crackle and Pop  
 Article | Heated Curtailments  
 Article | What Becomes of the CAISO Supp...  
 Article | AECO, watching out below!!  
 Monthly | Storm Chaser  
 Monthly | H(arvey), I(rma), J???  
 Monthly | Blink  
 Monthly | Cash is King  
 Monthly | Texas Blowhard  
 Monthly | Wagon Queen Family Truckster  
 Monthly | May Flowers?  
 Monthly | Convicted  
 Monthly | The Dog Days of Winter  
 Monthly | Cold meet Precipitation  
 Monthly | Spread It On!  
 Monthly | Emperor's New Clothes  
 Monthly | The ICE in the Dog Bowl  
 Article | What have we learned from Alis...  

Product Publications and Alerts
 
Recent Reports RSS Icon
 California Hydro | Daily Fl...  7:15 AM 
 BC Snow Water Dashboard 201...  7:03 AM 
 EGPS BPA Wind MW Forecast 2...  7:03 AM 
 NYISO DA LMP Prices 2019-11-18  6:58 AM 
 ERCOT Real-Time Dashboard 2...  5:46 AM 
 NG Canadian Supply/Demand T...  5:35 AM 
 PNW Renewables Curtailment ...  5:31 AM 
 NG New England - 2019-11-17  5:30 AM 
 CAISO Renewables 2019-11-21  5:29 AM 
 CAISO SCE vs Wind 2019-11-21  5:29 AM 
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 NG Midwest Central - 2019-1...  5:26 AM 
 NG Midcont - 2019-11-17  5:25 AM 
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 EGPS Short Term Hydro Forec...  4:32 AM 
 eFlash: PJM Load Forecast U...  4:30 AM 
 PJM Load Charts 2019-11-23  4:30 AM 
 NG Mexican Exports - 2019-1...  4:22 AM 
 WECC Load Table 2019-11-24  4:21 AM 
 eDash: PNW Daily Dashboard...  4:16 AM 
 eFlash: NYISO Load Forecast...  4:15 AM 
 NYISO Load Charts 2019-11-23  4:15 AM 
 EGPS CAISO Wind MW Forecast...  4:07 AM 
 AESO DA LMP Prices 2019-11-16  4:03 AM 
 AGT Pipeline Balance - 2019...  4:02 AM 
 NG Pwr Burn West - Pipeline...  4:01 AM 
 NG Pwr Burn West 2019-11-17  4:01 AM 
 PNW Daily Generation Charts...  3:45 AM 
 West | Spark Prices 2019-11-11  3:36 AM 
 EGPS NYISO Wind MW Forecast...  3:34 AM 
 CAISO EIM Summary - 2019-11-16  3:31 AM 
 HDD/CDD Gas Demand BCF Tabl...  3:27 AM 
 Liquified Natural Gas (LNG)...  3:23 AM 
 NG US Supply/(Demand) Summa...  3:23 AM 
 EGPS Mid-Range Hydro Foreca...  3:20 AM 
 NG Regional Demand Forecast...  3:15 AM 
 ERCOT Daily Summary - 2019-...  3:10 AM 
 NG North America Production...  3:10 AM 
 NG Power Burns - 2019-11-17  3:10 AM 
 SPP Daily Summary - 2019-11-17  3:08 AM 
 NG Power Loads - 2019-11-17  3:08 AM 
 North America Net Load Summ...  3:08 AM 
 eFlash: ISONE Load Forecast...  3:05 AM 
 ISONE Load Charts 2019-11-22  3:05 AM 
 Alberta Power Pool Daily Su...  3:04 AM 
 eDash: Transmission Flows 2...  3:00 AM 
 NG California Demand Breako...  2:40 AM 
 EGPS PJM Wind MW Forecast 2...  1:47 AM 
 PNW Snow Water Dashboard 20...  1:03 AM 
 Snow Water Dashboard 2019-1...  1:03 AM 
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 SWE Sorted Plot Columbia 20...  1:03 AM 
 SWE Sorted Plot CRWMG 2019-...  1:03 AM 
 SPP Renewables Curtailment ...  1:02 AM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 201...  1:00 AM 
 ERCOT System Msg - Active 0...  12:22 AM 
 NG MX Sistran Table - 2019-...  12:17 AM 
 NG Kern Supply/Demand Table...  12:14 AM 
 ERCOT Real-Time Dashboard 2...  12:01 AM 
 Snow Water Maps 2019-11-16  Nov 16 10:13 PM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 201...  Nov 16 5:00 PM 
 NG DTI Supply/Demand Table ...  Nov 16 4:05 PM 
 CAISO 1515 Outage 2019-11-16  Nov 16 3:15 PM 
 eFlash: NWRFC ESP by Basin ...  Nov 16 2:33 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (GCDW1) 20...  Nov 16 2:33 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (LGDW1) 20...  Nov 16 2:33 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (TDAO3) 20...  Nov 16 2:33 PM 
 SPP DA LMP Prices 2019-11-17  Nov 16 1:04 PM 
 MISO DA LMP Prices 2019-11-17  Nov 16 12:09 PM 
 East DA LMP Prices 2019-11-17  Nov 16 12:09 PM 
 PJM Shadow and Anc Prices 2...  Nov 16 12:05 PM 
 PNW Hydro | Unregulated Flo...  Nov 16 12:00 PM 
 CAISO LMP Prices with SP 20...  Nov 16 11:53 AM 
 CAISO SPTIE LMP 2019-11-17  Nov 16 11:53 AM 
 CAISO DA Hourly LMP Histogr...  Nov 16 11:53 AM 
 CAISO Transmission Market 2...  Nov 16 11:53 AM 
 CAISO DA Market Summary 201...  Nov 16 11:48 AM 
 CAISO LMP Compare 11/17 SP:...  Nov 16 11:48 AM 
 eFlash: CAISO LMP 2019-11-17  Nov 16 11:48 AM