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In-depth analysis on the most significant developments in the energy space.
Saturday Oct 12, 2019   
This past January, ERCOT implemented the first part of scarcity price policy revisions from the Public Utility Commission of Texas. These changes, affecting the Operating Reserve Demand Curve adder (ORDC), were set to take place in two phases: at the beginning of 2019 and 2020. This past April, EGPS discussed the proposed first change and how it might affect ERCOT pricing. Now, at the end of the summer, it’s time to look ahead at the upcoming second change. This article presents an analysis where the frequency and level of ORDC adders is calculated using defined adjustments. We compute expected adjustments based on the known change to the ORDC adder coming March 2020 (Phase 2 adder) as well as some expected change to the net resource mix..... » learn more
Friday Oct 4, 2019   
The ‘Sumas Story’ started years ago when cold winter days in the Pacific Northwest had to compete with Northeast winter demand as AECO was the marginal molecule. This created a lively market that saw both Sumas and AGT cash gas prices shoot through the moon. As the grid was going through its evolution of pipeline expansions (REX) and on-shore production, the leverage of AECO diminished to a point that Sumas went to the wayside while AGT was still privy to the winter price spikes. Almost a year ago to the day of writing this report, the Pacific Northwest got a jolt (no pun intended) as the 36 inch Enbridge pipeline near Shelley, BC exploded with a ball of fire that was seen for miles...... » learn more
Thursday May 16, 2019   
EnergyGPS slides from the "Third Annual Northwest Wholesale Power Markets: Transition in Progress" conference by Newsdata LLC and CJB Energy. We explore the power demand, supply, and price conditions in the Pacific Northwest and California markets. » learn more
When it comes to Carbon Markets in the region, the Washington State had an initiative on the ballot a couple of years ago that had some traction but did not get over 50% allocated yes votes it needed to pass. Since that time, the groups that support a Carbon Market in the Pacific Northwest, specifically Washington, have put together another proposal that is known as Initiative 1631 and it is on the upcoming ballet on November 6th , 2018. » learn more
West Power will be interesting as we move into the back half of May and look forward to June and all of Q3. This article takes an in-depth look at how the Renewable penetration has impacted curtailments, how the constraints at SoCal Citygate are impacting the market and the volatility that is in store once we get into the summer months. » learn more
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Daily Newsletter
A daily brief covering variety of energy topics. Subscribe now to receive our newsletter to your inbox.
Friday Oct 18, 2019   
The Western markets have grabbed the attention of many over the past few years as SoCal Gas's infrastructure seemed to be falling apart starting with Aliso Canyon and then moving to the pipelines themselves as a fire broke out around the Mojave compressor.  The constrainted the North Zone of ... » read more
Thursday Oct 17, 2019   
Over the past few weeks, the Pacific Northwest gas system has been restricted in a way that the Jackson Prairie storage facility has not been able to pull gas out of the ground.  In essence, it has not been able to help balance the system at a time Mother Nature has brought in colder weather ... » read more
Wednesday Oct 16, 2019   
The weather forecasts have been adding HDDs to the 11-15 day forecast and that alone has prompted the November contract to move up roughly $0.15 since the open on Monday. This is a pretty big move all things considered.   Figure 1 | HDD Accumulation broken down by Day Buckets ** WSI ... » read more
Tuesday Oct 15, 2019   
In gymnastics, a perfect score is a 10.0 and is reflective of an athlete doing everything technically correct along with have some major difficulty in the routine itself.  The scoring is based on experienced judges who have a trained eye to look at the sub-items tied to the two categories ... » read more
Monday Oct 14, 2019   
This past January, ERCOT adopted a proposed set of changes from the Public Utility Commission of Texas. These changes, affecting the Operating Reserve Demand Curve adder (ORDC), were set to take place in the beginning of 2019 and the beginning of 2020. The first change was in effect this past ... » read more
Friday Oct 11, 2019   
A couple of things happened this week that brough back old memories as well as defined the era that we live in when it comes to safety/litigation risk.  The first item is detailed in this week's Newsletter article titled 'The Constraint of Day', if you would like purchase the report a la carte ... » read more
Thursday Oct 10, 2019   
The recent weather extremes over the last couple weeks have finally given way to moderate weather. In the Northeast, temperatures have shifted into a comfortable range calling few degree days onto the board. With weather across the country shifting into the mild shoulder season, demand for ... » read more
Wednesday Oct 9, 2019   
As we start to move into the middle third of October, the weather starts to feel a little brisk in the mornings as the overnight lows are dropping across the country.  In the power markets, this is usually the time of year when planned maintenance occurs for both the power plants and ... » read more
Tuesday Oct 8, 2019   
Summer came to an abrupt end in the Northeast and Midwest this weekend when daytime highs made one of the most drastic changes we have ever seen. After bumping along for most of the summer in the low 90's, the temperature highs fell off to the low 70's. No smooth transition to fall weather was ... » read more
Monday Oct 7, 2019   
Over the past few days, the EnergyGPS Newsletter product has been putting content tied to both the daily blog and the Gold/Platinum packages.  The topic of the former was tied Pacific Northwest Regional Resource Adequency while the latter focused on the Pacific Northwest Sumas gas market ... » read more
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Newsletter Power and Gas Articles
 Article | Zooming Out on US Renewables  
 Report | ERCOT's Push and Pull Purchase  
 Article | The Constraint of the Day Purchase  
 Article | PacificParadigm Purchase  
 Monthly | Regional Sandboxes Purchase  
 Report | The Sumas Story Purchase  
 Article | Headed for retirement...CAISO Purchase  
 Article | Upcoming Flex Needed in the West Purchase  
 Article | What will the grid look like....? Purchase  
 Monthly | Everything is big in Texas Purchase  
 Article | Back to School in the West Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Evolution Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Renewables - Looking For... Purchase  
 Article | Profit Shaping - ERCOT Renewables Purchase  
 Article | Partly Cloudy with a chance of? Purchase  
 Monthly | Three Days in ERCOT Purchase  
 Article | Summer Chill Purchase  
 Article | Brew Fest Purchase  
 Article | SoCal Gas Summer Fundamentals Purchase  
 Article | Cap and Trade Tightness? Purchase  
 Article | The Storage Story - Chapter 2 Purchase  
 Article | Officially Summer? Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Storage Story Purchase  
 Monthly | Renewed Interest in the Renewa... Purchase  
 Article | Champion of the Energy Sector Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Reliability Percentages Purchase  
 Monthly | Flowers in May? Purchase  
 Article | Hydro doing these days? Purchase  
 Article | California's Summer Balance Purchase  
 Article | Opportunity Comes in Many Forms Purchase  
 Article | Renewable CCA Purchase  
 Article | The Pick Is In..... Purchase  
 Article | Changes in ERCOT Scarcity Pricing Purchase  
 Monthly | Swinging for the Fence Purchase  
 Article | The Waha Squeeze Play Purchase  
 Article | Seriously, how do batteries ma... Purchase  
 Article | The Power of Price in the Burns Purchase  
 Article | Power On......  
 Report | End of Winter Season - NG Balance Purchase  
 Article | The Storage (Battery) Story Purchase  
 Monthly | The Pacific Northwest Acronym ... Purchase  
 Article | The New EIM Market Purchase  
 Article | The Hydro Bed Purchase  
 Article | Alberta's Growing Demand Purchase  
 Report | Ruby or Not Ruby? Purchase  
 Article | The Pomona Battery Purchase  
 Monthly | Whacky Weather and Wind Purchase  
 Article | Timing Is Everything Purchase  
 Article | Natural Gas Balancing Act Purchase  
 Article | Deep Purple - Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Article | Not Any More!!!!! Purchase  
 Article | Significance of December 27th,... Purchase  
 Monthly | Tis the Season Purchase  
 Article | California - What a Year???!!! Purchase  
 Article | West Returning to the Danger Z... Purchase  
 Article | The 'Eyes of Texas' on Wind Purchase  
 Monthly | 'Fro-Vember' Purchase  
 Article | Trend is your Friend Purchase  
 Report | MISO’s Excess/Deficient Deviati... Purchase  
 Article | Sumas heading into Xmas Purchase  
 Article | Summer SoCal in November and B... Purchase  
 Article | Centralized Capacity Market De... Purchase  
 Monthly | The Battle Royale Purchase  
 Article | Coal Retirements and Natural G... Purchase  
 Article | Mother Nature, did you see tha...  
 Article | SOS - Sumas Over SoCal Purchase  
 Article | The West Playground Purchase  
 Monthly | Hunting for Red October  
 Article | The 2017-2018 Water Year in a ...  
 Article | The Severity of Florence Purchase  
 Article | Two Discussion Points Around S... Purchase  
 Article | US Open Heat Event Purchase  
 Monthly | Two out of Three Completed Purchase  
 Article | Now there are Two!!! Purchase  
 Article | A Breath Of Fresh Air Purchase  
 Article | The Motion Purchase  
 Article | Early August 2018 Purchase  
 Article | Winners and Losers Tied to the... Purchase  
 Monthly | Is the Best Pitch a Heater , C... Purchase  
 Article | The Dog Days of Summer Purchase  
 Article | Hear That Music? Purchase  
 Article | Powering the Gas Markets in th... Purchase  
 Article | LeHeat in LA Purchase  
 Article | Heat of the Moment Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT, A Healthy Supply Stack.... Purchase  
 Monthly | A Quarter for Your Thoughts Purchase  
 Article | PJM's Capacity Performance Obl... Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Market Report Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Price Spike Purchase  
 Article | Weather or Hot (Cold) Purchase  
 Monthly | Summer Right Around the Corner Purchase  
 Article | Play Me Some Mountain Music Purchase  
 Article | The Heat is On (the ERCOT Stack) Purchase  
 Article | What is your CCV code West Power? Purchase  
 Article | Basis of Natural Gas's Existence Purchase  
 Article | Tensions Rising in Southern Ca... Purchase  
 Article | Welcome Back BPA Curtailments Purchase  
 Article | Wind, Where Have You Gone? Purchase  
 Article | MayDay - Curtailments Purchase  
 Monthly | April Cold Brings May? Purchase  
 Article | A Look at the Renewable Landscape  
 Article | The 'basis' of SoCal Citygate'... Purchase  
 Article | Alberta Power's Mid-Month Update  
 Article | Expect the Unexpected - SPP Wi...  
 Article | Virtual Tour with Mother Nature  
 Article | The Fools Fool  
 Monthly | April Fooling  
 Article | The CAISO's Big Three  
 Article | That Pesky Groundhog!!!  
 Article | Track the Tracker  
 Monthly | A Tale of Two Cities.....  
 Article | Central Vertical Corridor  
 Article | Sneak Preview of CAISO Curtail...  
 Article | Storage 1,2,3  
 Article | Glimpse of what is to come in ...  
 Monthly | Back to Where We Belong???  
 Article | Armageddon in February Across ...  
 Article | Digging in the South Central R...  
 Article | What is going on with Power Burns  
 Monthly | SoCal Citygate Hype??.  
 Monthly | Constraints Everywhere?..  
 Monthly | I Just Cleaned This Mess!  
 Article | Keeping an Eye on the Fundamen...  
 Monthly | The Fall Classic  
 Monthly | A Dry/Warm October  
 Article | AECO, the Red October  
 Article | SCEeeee What is Happening with...  
 Article | Snap, Crackle and Pop  
 Article | Heated Curtailments  
 Article | What Becomes of the CAISO Supp...  
 Article | AECO, watching out below!!  
 Monthly | Storm Chaser  
 Monthly | H(arvey), I(rma), J???  
 Monthly | Blink  
 Monthly | Cash is King  
 Monthly | Texas Blowhard  
 Monthly | Wagon Queen Family Truckster  
 Monthly | May Flowers?  
 Monthly | Convicted  
 Monthly | The Dog Days of Winter  
 Monthly | Cold meet Precipitation  
 Monthly | Spread It On!  
 Monthly | Emperor's New Clothes  
 Monthly | The ICE in the Dog Bowl  
 Article | What have we learned from Alis...  

Product Publications and Alerts
Recent Reports RSS Icon
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 eDash: PNW Daily Dashboard...  4:16 AM 
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 eDash: PNW Hydro Elevations...  3:40 AM 
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 Liquified Natural Gas (LNG)...  3:32 AM 
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 CAISO EIM Summary - 2019-10-18  3:31 AM 
 HDD/CDD Gas Demand BCF Tabl...  3:27 AM 
 EGPS Mid-Range Hydro Foreca...  3:19 AM 
 NG Regional Demand Forecast...  3:15 AM 
 ERCOT Daily Summary - 2019-...  3:10 AM 
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 NG Power Burns - 2019-10-19  3:10 AM 
 SPP Daily Summary - 2019-10-19  3:07 AM 
 NG Power Loads - 2019-10-19  3:07 AM 
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 EGPS PJM Wind MW Forecast 2...  1:47 AM 
 SPP Renewables Curtailment ...  1:02 AM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 201...  1:00 AM 
 NG MX Sistran Table - 2019-...  12:29 AM 
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 ERCOT System Msg - Active 0...  12:22 AM 
 ERCOT Real-Time Dashboard 2...  12:01 AM 
 Snow Water Maps 2019-10-18  Oct 18 10:12 PM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 201...  Oct 18 6:00 PM 
 Option Settles 2019-10-17  Oct 18 5:57 PM 
 CAISO RT Price Alert 10/18 ...  Oct 18 5:54 PM 
 CAISO RT Price Alert 10/18 ...  Oct 18 5:48 PM 
 NG Coal to Gas Ratio  Oct 18 5:31 PM 
 NG DTI Supply/Demand Table ...  Oct 18 4:08 PM 
 CAISO 1515 Outage 2019-10-18  Oct 18 3:15 PM 
 NG STOP Report - TCPL 2019-...  Oct 18 2:27 PM 
 ERCOT System Msg - Cancelle...  Oct 18 2:22 PM 
 eFlash: NWRFC ESP by Basin ...  Oct 18 1:11 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (GCDW1) 20...  Oct 18 1:11 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (LGDW1) 20...  Oct 18 1:11 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (TDAO3) 20...  Oct 18 1:11 PM 
 SPP DA LMP Prices 2019-10-19  Oct 18 1:04 PM 
 CAISO System Msg - Urgent 1...  Oct 18 12:50 PM 
 COT Report 2019-10-15  Oct 18 12:31 PM 
 NG MX Sistran Table - 2019-...  Oct 18 12:26 PM