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ENERGYGPS is a leading energy analysis and consulting firm.

We do energy analysis, and we do it really well.

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Webinar Series
Video seminars discussing issues in Power and Natural Gas markets.
 
Special Research Reports
In-depth analysis on the most significant developments in the energy space.
Saturday Nov 16, 2019   
A battery can sell three types of products: resource adequacy (RA), ancillary services , and energy. RA revenue is a function of the capacity market rules (e.g., size of battery and duration), and is generally procured on a monthly or annual basis. As such, RA value is not directly impacted by short term energy and ancillary prices or dispatch. Ancillary services, especially regulating reserves, are currently profitable, but the market for them is very small compared to the size of the energy market. In the CAISO, for example, the current regulating reserve market is about 300 MW of “reg up” and 300 MW of “reg down.” Historically, the regulating reserve market was served by flexible hydro and natural gas. » learn more
Saturday Oct 12, 2019   
This past January, ERCOT implemented the first part of scarcity price policy revisions from the Public Utility Commission of Texas. These changes, affecting the Operating Reserve Demand Curve adder (ORDC), were set to take place in two phases: at the beginning of 2019 and 2020. This past April, EGPS discussed the proposed first change and how it might affect ERCOT pricing. Now, at the end of the summer, it’s time to look ahead at the upcoming second change. This article presents an analysis where the frequency and level of ORDC adders is calculated using defined adjustments. We compute expected adjustments based on the known change to the ORDC adder coming March 2020 (Phase 2 adder) as well as some expected change to the net resource mix..... » learn more
Friday Oct 4, 2019   
The ‘Sumas Story’ started years ago when cold winter days in the Pacific Northwest had to compete with Northeast winter demand as AECO was the marginal molecule. This created a lively market that saw both Sumas and AGT cash gas prices shoot through the moon. As the grid was going through its evolution of pipeline expansions (REX) and on-shore production, the leverage of AECO diminished to a point that Sumas went to the wayside while AGT was still privy to the winter price spikes. Almost a year ago to the day of writing this report, the Pacific Northwest got a jolt (no pun intended) as the 36 inch Enbridge pipeline near Shelley, BC exploded with a ball of fire that was seen for miles...... » learn more
Thursday May 16, 2019   
EnergyGPS slides from the "Third Annual Northwest Wholesale Power Markets: Transition in Progress" conference by Newsdata LLC and CJB Energy. We explore the power demand, supply, and price conditions in the Pacific Northwest and California markets. » learn more
  
When it comes to Carbon Markets in the region, the Washington State had an initiative on the ballot a couple of years ago that had some traction but did not get over 50% allocated yes votes it needed to pass. Since that time, the groups that support a Carbon Market in the Pacific Northwest, specifically Washington, have put together another proposal that is known as Initiative 1631 and it is on the upcoming ballet on November 6th , 2018. » learn more
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Daily Newsletter
A daily brief covering variety of energy topics. Subscribe now to receive our newsletter to your inbox.
Friday Apr 3, 2020   
For those of us fortunate enough to  not be impacted health- or employment-wise by the COVID-19 crisis, it was a week to be very grateful for what we have.  To the people on the front line of this crisis, from heath care workers to the many workers providing essential service, EnergyGPS ... » read more
Thursday Apr 2, 2020   
During any election, the news stations use the words 'swing state' as the ballots are being counted and the individuals running for office are all on pins and needles.  The reference is to any state that can go either way hence the political party member who wins the votes is one step closer ... » read more
Wednesday Apr 1, 2020   
What a start to a new month, ERCOT's wind is expected to average over 16.7 GWa across the 24 hour period on Wednesday, April 1st.  If I would have written this type of information in the newsletter blog, say 10 years ago, you would have most likely attributed it to a funny April Fools ... » read more
Tuesday Mar 31, 2020   
Oil prices have been hit with a double edged sword in the last month. The failure of Russia and OPEC nations to come to a quota agreement has led to a glut of supply in the world market just as coronavirus effects sap the demand. Zerohedge posted a good article about how some of the oil basis ... » read more
Monday Mar 30, 2020   
The world has a lot going on right now as information overload is front and center when it comes to the Coronavirus and the inability for countries to get in front of it in a way that allows for people to go about their daily life.  We have China that has begun to dig itself out of what would ... » read more
Friday Mar 27, 2020   
The good people over at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL) have recently published a report on the state of batteries in US electricity markets. LBL has partnered with the Electric Power Research Institute and Clean Kilowatts to write “Motivations and options for deploying hybrid ... » read more
Thursday Mar 26, 2020   
Over the past few weeks the world has been turned upside down in a way that countries are in full lockdown mode, individuals are asked to cozy up in their small apartments/flats and every news station is finding it hard to stay on top of the information surrounding the coronavirus.  During ... » read more
Wednesday Mar 25, 2020   
The Corona Virus (CV) and the related illness COVID-19 (C19) has unsettled and upended the world as we know it. People are socially distancing, businesses are closing, people are losing jobs, those with jobs are working from home, people are getting sick, and people are dying. This is like nothing ... » read more
Tuesday Mar 24, 2020   
The last couple of weeks have been a disaster for energy prices. The two edged sword of quarantine efforts as well as the break down of oil quota talks has slashed near term natural gas prices. But there is a silver lining to the recent price action. The futures prices beyond this immediate ... » read more
Monday Mar 23, 2020   
It is so easy to lose track of what day it is as they all get co-mingled into one lump sum now that working from home is being mandated by the stay-in-place orders sent down from either the state's governor or the city's mayor.  No matter who it is issuing the mandate, our country is working ... » read more
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Newsletter Power and Gas Articles
 Article | Another Round..... Purchase  
 Monthly | Solar Yell Leader Wanted Purchase  
 Article | Cloudy With A Chance of Sunshine Purchase  
 Report | Dwindling California Demand Purchase  
 Article | Tempered Power Demand? Purchase  
 Report | Power Demand Just Got Trickier Purchase  
 Article | Ramping Up/Down Purchase  
 Monthly | The Pandemic Purchase  
 Article | California Reewable Basis Stor... Purchase  
 Article | California Hydro Alert Purchase  
 Article | Winter Storage Purchase  
 Monthly | The Golden State Purchase  
 Article | Super Supply Purchase  
 Article | S(OS)PP Distressed? Purchase  
 Article | Renewable Gas Exposure Purchase  
 Article | Basis Story Part 2 - The North... Purchase  
 Article | Which hat are you wearing? Purchase  
 Article | O Christmas Tree Purchase  
 Monthly | The Learning Curve Purchase  
 Article | Monte Carlo Purchase  
 Article | The Gift that Keeps on Giving Purchase  
 Monthly | Lion's Road vs. Cat's Meow Purchase  
 Article | Wish List Tied to Solar Purchase  
 Article | The Desert Basis Story Purchase  
 Article | Mini Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Report | Battery Modeling using the TB4 Purchase  
 Report | Shouldering the Load Purchase  
 Monthly | Trick or Treating in the Weeds Purchase  
 Article | Some PJM Pain for Some Gain Purchase  
 Article | Google Renewable Auction Purchase  
 Article | Zooming Out on US Renewables Purchase  
 Report | ERCOT's Push and Pull Purchase  
 Article | The Constraint of the Day Purchase  
 Article | PacificParadigm Purchase  
 Monthly | Regional Sandboxes Purchase  
 Report | The Sumas Story Purchase  
 Article | Headed for retirement...CAISO Purchase  
 Article | Upcoming Flex Needed in the West Purchase  
 Article | What will the grid look like....? Purchase  
 Monthly | Everything is big in Texas Purchase  
 Article | Back to School in the West Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Evolution Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Renewables - Looking For... Purchase  
 Article | Profit Shaping - ERCOT Renewables Purchase  
 Article | Partly Cloudy with a chance of? Purchase  
 Monthly | Three Days in ERCOT Purchase  
 Article | Summer Chill Purchase  
 Article | Brew Fest Purchase  
 Article | SoCal Gas Summer Fundamentals Purchase  
 Article | Cap and Trade Tightness? Purchase  
 Article | The Storage Story - Chapter 2 Purchase  
 Article | Officially Summer? Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Storage Story Purchase  
 Monthly | Renewed Interest in the Renewa... Purchase  
 Article | Champion of the Energy Sector Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Reliability Percentages Purchase  
 Monthly | Flowers in May? Purchase  
 Article | Hydro doing these days? Purchase  
 Article | California's Summer Balance Purchase  
 Article | Opportunity Comes in Many Forms Purchase  
 Article | Renewable CCA Purchase  
 Article | The Pick Is In..... Purchase  
 Article | Changes in ERCOT Scarcity Pricing Purchase  
 Monthly | Swinging for the Fence Purchase  
 Article | The Waha Squeeze Play Purchase  
 Article | Seriously, how do batteries ma... Purchase  
 Article | The Power of Price in the Burns Purchase  
 Article | Power On......  
 Report | End of Winter Season - NG Balance Purchase  
 Article | The Storage (Battery) Story Purchase  
 Monthly | The Pacific Northwest Acronym ... Purchase  
 Article | The New EIM Market Purchase  
 Article | The Hydro Bed Purchase  
 Article | Alberta's Growing Demand Purchase  
 Report | Ruby or Not Ruby? Purchase  
 Article | The Pomona Battery Purchase  
 Monthly | Whacky Weather and Wind Purchase  
 Article | Timing Is Everything Purchase  
 Article | Natural Gas Balancing Act Purchase  
 Article | Deep Purple - Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Article | Not Any More!!!!! Purchase  
 Article | Significance of December 27th,... Purchase  
 Monthly | Tis the Season Purchase  
 Article | California - What a Year???!!! Purchase  
 Article | West Returning to the Danger Z... Purchase  
 Article | The 'Eyes of Texas' on Wind Purchase  
 Monthly | 'Fro-Vember' Purchase  
 Article | Trend is your Friend Purchase  
 Report | MISO’s Excess/Deficient Deviati... Purchase  
 Article | Sumas heading into Xmas Purchase  
 Article | Summer SoCal in November and B... Purchase  
 Article | Centralized Capacity Market De... Purchase  
 Monthly | The Battle Royale Purchase  
 Article | Coal Retirements and Natural G... Purchase  
 Article | Mother Nature, did you see tha...  
 Article | SOS - Sumas Over SoCal Purchase  
 Article | The West Playground Purchase  
 Monthly | Hunting for Red October  
 Article | The 2017-2018 Water Year in a ...  
 Article | The Severity of Florence Purchase  
 Article | Two Discussion Points Around S... Purchase  
 Article | US Open Heat Event Purchase  
 Monthly | Two out of Three Completed Purchase  
 Article | Now there are Two!!! Purchase  
 Article | A Breath Of Fresh Air Purchase  
 Article | The Motion Purchase  
 Article | Early August 2018 Purchase  
 Article | Winners and Losers Tied to the... Purchase  
 Monthly | Is the Best Pitch a Heater , C... Purchase  
 Article | The Dog Days of Summer Purchase  
 Article | Hear That Music? Purchase  
 Article | Powering the Gas Markets in th... Purchase  
 Article | LeHeat in LA Purchase  
 Article | Heat of the Moment Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT, A Healthy Supply Stack.... Purchase  
 Monthly | A Quarter for Your Thoughts Purchase  
 Article | PJM's Capacity Performance Obl... Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Market Report Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Price Spike Purchase  
 Article | Weather or Hot (Cold) Purchase  
 Monthly | Summer Right Around the Corner Purchase  
 Article | Play Me Some Mountain Music Purchase  
 Article | The Heat is On (the ERCOT Stack) Purchase  
 Article | What is your CCV code West Power? Purchase  
 Article | Basis of Natural Gas's Existence Purchase  
 Article | Tensions Rising in Southern Ca... Purchase  
 Article | Welcome Back BPA Curtailments Purchase  
 Article | Wind, Where Have You Gone? Purchase  
 Article | MayDay - Curtailments Purchase  
 Monthly | April Cold Brings May? Purchase  
 Article | A Look at the Renewable Landscape  
 Article | The 'basis' of SoCal Citygate'... Purchase  
 Article | Alberta Power's Mid-Month Update  
 Article | Expect the Unexpected - SPP Wi...  
 Article | Virtual Tour with Mother Nature  
 Article | The Fools Fool  
 Monthly | April Fooling  
 Article | The CAISO's Big Three  
 Article | That Pesky Groundhog!!!  
 Article | Track the Tracker  
 Monthly | A Tale of Two Cities.....  
 Article | Central Vertical Corridor  
 Article | Sneak Preview of CAISO Curtail...  
 Article | Storage 1,2,3  
 Article | Glimpse of what is to come in ...  
 Monthly | Back to Where We Belong???  
 Article | Armageddon in February Across ...  
 Article | Digging in the South Central R...  
 Article | What is going on with Power Burns  
 Monthly | SoCal Citygate Hype??.  
 Monthly | I Just Cleaned This Mess!  
 Monthly | Constraints Everywhere?..  
 Article | Keeping an Eye on the Fundamen...  
 Monthly | The Fall Classic  
 Monthly | A Dry/Warm October  
 Article | AECO, the Red October  
 Article | SCEeeee What is Happening with...  
 Article | Snap, Crackle and Pop  
 Article | Heated Curtailments  
 Article | What Becomes of the CAISO Supp...  
 Article | AECO, watching out below!!  
 Monthly | Storm Chaser  
 Monthly | H(arvey), I(rma), J???  
 Monthly | Blink  
 Monthly | Cash is King  
 Monthly | Texas Blowhard  
 Monthly | Wagon Queen Family Truckster  
 Monthly | May Flowers?  
 Monthly | The Dog Days of Winter  
 Monthly | Convicted  
 Monthly | Spread It On!  
 Monthly | Cold meet Precipitation  
 Monthly | The ICE in the Dog Bowl  
 Monthly | Emperor's New Clothes  
 Article | What have we learned from Alis...  

Product Publications and Alerts
 
Recent Reports RSS Icon
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 AGT Pipeline Balance - 2020...  4:01 AM 
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 West | Spark Prices 2020-03-30  3:36 AM 
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 CAISO EIM Summary - 2020-04-05  3:32 AM 
 EGPS Mid-Range Hydro Foreca...  3:24 AM 
 NG Regional Demand Forecast...  3:15 AM 
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 NG Power Burns - 2020-04-06  3:12 AM 
 ERCOT Daily Summary - 2020-...  3:10 AM 
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 North America Net Load Summ...  3:08 AM 
 SPP Daily Summary - 2020-04-06  3:08 AM 
 eFlash: ISONE Load Forecast...  3:05 AM 
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 SWE Sorted Plot CRWMG 2020-...  3:05 AM 
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 NRC Nuclear Change for 2020...  3:02 AM 
 NRC Nuclear Daily Capacity ...  3:02 AM 
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 NRC Nuclear Plant Summary f...  3:02 AM 
 eDash: Transmission Flows 2...  3:00 AM 
 NG California Demand Breako...  2:40 AM 
 ERCOT System Msg - Active 0...  2:22 AM 
 EGPS PJM Wind MW Forecast 2...  1:47 AM 
 SPP Renewables Curtailment ...  1:02 AM 
 NG Kern Supply/Demand Table...  12:29 AM 
 ERCOT System Msg - Active 0...  12:22 AM 
 ERCOT Real-Time Dashboard 2...  12:02 AM 
 Snow Water Maps 2020-04-05  Apr 5 10:14 PM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 202...  Apr 5 6:00 PM 
 NG Market Flash | Weekend U...  Apr 5 4:22 PM 
 NG DTI Supply/Demand Table ...  Apr 5 4:08 PM 
 CAISO 1515 Outage 2020-04-05  Apr 5 3:15 PM 
 eFlash: NWRFC ESP by Basin ...  Apr 5 2:34 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (GCDW1) 20...  Apr 5 2:34 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (LGDW1) 20...  Apr 5 2:34 PM 
 NWRFC ESP Charts (TDAO3) 20...  Apr 5 2:34 PM 
 ERCOT System Msg - Active 1...  Apr 5 2:22 PM 
 PNW Hydro | Unregulated Flo...  Apr 5 2:01 PM 
 eReport: NYISO Daily Report...  Apr 5 1:30 PM 
 PNW Side Flow Forecast 2020...  Apr 5 1:25 PM 
 West Weekly Recap | Chillin...  Apr 5 1:20 PM 
 SPP DA LMP Prices 2020-04-06  Apr 5 1:04 PM 
 NWRFC ESP QPF 2020-04-05 WY...  Apr 5 12:53 PM 
 East DA LMP Prices 2020-04-06  Apr 5 12:11 PM 
 MISO DA LMP Prices 2020-04-06  Apr 5 12:11 PM 
 PJM Shadow and Anc Prices 2...  Apr 5 12:05 PM 
 CAISO DA Hourly LMP Histogr...  Apr 5 11:46 AM