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Special Research Reports
  
The Alberta Power and Natural Gas market continue to make the headlines as former is seeing its supply stack change with the retirement of coal plants and increased wind capacity. The latter is tied to what is happening with the summer maintenance restrictions as well as the production growth within the province. » read more
  
Over the years, the Rockies region has been a focal point in the West. With the landscape changing across several adjoining regions, the Rockies is once going to be in the spotlight. In this report, we detail the short, mid and long term fundamental changes impacting the overall production supply in the Rockies. » read more
Featured Articles
Monday Jun 12, 2017   
This past weekend was setting up to be more like an April weekend day rather than a typical June Saturday or Sunday when it comes to the power load across the West as well as the renewable generation.  Starting in the Pacific Northwest, we saw the weather go from clear blue skies and plenty of sunshine to that of overcast weather with plenty of rainfall.  In fact ... » read more
Friday Jun 9, 2017   
Power markets are curious beasts. They really are!! Electricity is a vital commodity with no substitutes (at least in the short term) and limited ability to store. Furthermore, for most consumers reading this newsletter, electricity is quite a bargain compared to the benefit consumers derive from the product. At least for me, you could increase the price of electricity by ... » read more
Thursday Jun 8, 2017   
The loss of the Aliso Canyon storage facility in the SoCal Gas system continues to plague California. The cavern was shut down in February of 2016 after a massive leak of natural gas was plugged. It took almost a year for residents evacuated from the area to return to their homes. Prior to the leak, the storage caverns were a ... » read more
Wednesday Jun 7, 2017   
On May 31st Brayton Point coal shut its doors for good pulling 1,600 MWs of capacity out of the market. The unit was the last coal plant in Massachusetts and the largest non-NG fired generator in ISONE.   Figure 1 | Brayton Point Coal Plant   ... » read more
Tuesday Jun 6, 2017   
As we enter the month of June, the hydro system in the Pacific Northwest usually sees its generation shift down as the storage facilities are in full refill mode.  This year is looking to be an outlier when you compare it to the past two years as the generation output continue to be strong with no sight of the foot coming off the gas pedal. » read more
Monday Jun 5, 2017   
The day after the June Nymex contract rolled off the board, the July contract moved up roughly $0.07 to settle $3.31. This move up was on a 11-15 day forecast that was showing above normal temperatures across the Midwest and Eastern portion of the country.  In fact, this was right around the time the CFTC Commitment of Traders was at its all-time high for the large ... » read more
Friday Jun 2, 2017   
This week the CAISO officially announced the addition of two new energy imbalance market (EIM) participants – Powerex and the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP). These two announcements are a big deal. While Pacificorp receives full credit as the first-mover in the EIM, the addition of Powerex and LADWP takes the EIM to a whole new level. The devil is in ... » read more
Thursday Jun 1, 2017   
We have been writing about the water year in the Pacific Northwest for some time.  The major theme was tied to the Snake River basin getting plenty of snow early while the Above Grand Coulee basin lagged.  That was until February when the precipitation pattern dumped a tremendous amount of snow in Upper Washington, parts of Montana and British Columbia.  This ... » read more
Wednesday May 31, 2017   
Through the majority of this spring the grid was tormented by unusually large amount of nuclear outages.  The total amount of generation offline peaked at a little more than 25 GWs for the end of April which marked the highest outage total since 2013.  Through the back half of May we have seen a rush of units return to the grid as nearly 10 GWs of ... » read more
Tuesday May 30, 2017   
Weeks ago we made note of the increased polarization of the different reporting sectors in the natural gas market as depicted by the Commodity Futures trading Commission (CFTC) weekly report. Prior to this past week, we saw a series of increases in the Money Managers position taking it to multi year highs and by far the largest position outside of the Swap Dealers. The Money ... » read more
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