Energy Solutions - Research, Trading and Management  Call Us | Contact Us Client Login
 
Home Image
Home Image
Home Image
Home Image
Home Image
ENERGYGPS is a leading energy analysis and consulting firm.

We do energy analysis, and we do it really well.

Energy industry professionals (traders, project developers, utilities, private equity firms, information managers, policy professionals and non-profits) use our analysis to help them make the most informed decisions they can. Explore our product offerings, consulting services, or learn more about Energy GPS.

Stay In Touch
Subscribe to our newsletter. Stay updated on commodity market trends, and special announcements.
Stay In Touch
Subscribe to our newsletter. Stay updated on commodity market trends, and special announcements.
Special Research Reports
  
The report breaks down the market fundamentals for both the power and natural gas markets around Southern California and their respective impacts to the SoCal Citygate cash price indices as we move through the rest of spring, summer and upcoming fall. » read more
  
The Alberta Power and Natural Gas market continue to make the headlines as former is seeing its supply stack change with the retirement of coal plants and increased wind capacity. The latter is tied to what is happening with the summer maintenance restrictions as well as the production growth within the province. » read more
  
Over the years, the Rockies region has been a focal point in the West. With the landscape changing across several adjoining regions, the Rockies is once going to be in the spotlight. In this report, we detail the short, mid and long term fundamental changes impacting the overall production supply in the Rockies. » read more
Featured Articles
Tuesday Feb 9, 2016   
As we start to move out of Winter and get closer to Spring, all eyes start turning to the California load and the solar profile to see how the middle of the day is going to shake out.  In years past, it has not been a big issue because the solar profile was not a big, but since last year's installed capacity increase we are going to see more and more solar generation hit the grid.  Figure 1 below, illustrates just how much solar is hitting the grid throughout the day and its impact to the next load in the CAISO footprint. Figure 1 | CAISO Solar, Wind and ... » read more
Monday Feb 8, 2016   
As expected the hydro generation in the Pacific Northwest shifted down over the weekend as the heavy load hours went from averaging 16,700 MW on the 3rd to settling in around 10,200 MW yesterday.  Figure 1 | Pacific Northwest Hydro Generation The reasons for the big shift down over the past couple of days is due to the lack of precipitation in the region as a high pressure system has moved in.  This has caused above normal temperatures along the Cascades and has kept the side flows at bay.   The next reason is that the Canadian flows have backed way ... » read more
Friday Feb 5, 2016   
With warmer weather looming and natural gas production ticking up due to increases in the Marcellus/Utica region, the front of the curve has shifted down quite a bit over the past week with the March contract going from $2.30 last Friday to settling at $1.972 this Thursday.   Breaking down the weekly information in a little more detail, here are the key drivers for such a move: Weather |  As we walked out the door last Friday, the March contract pushed up to $2.30 as the forecasts were calling for some arctic air to move down into the Midwest and ... » read more
Thursday Feb 4, 2016   
We have been watching SoCal closely this week as colder temperatures swept across the West of the United States. While the forecasts were by no means extraordinary, we did have our eyebrows raised as it appeared the SoCal gas system going to be tight considering the daily average temperatures that were in the forecast warranted roughly 4 BCF of Sendouts in SoCal Gas's system  The risk was twofold: First, withdrawals at Aliso Canyon had been limited as they entered into the 4th stage of the relief well drilling task to stop the leak in one of the wells. » read more
Wednesday Feb 3, 2016   
With front month contract trading below three dollar per mmbtu for a year now (as of yesterday, it is currently sitting at the $2.00 mark), it is not surprising to see gas drilling count taking another plunge. Gas drilling rig count in the US dropped to a new 5-year low of 121 count this past Friday. That is a 195 drop in gas rig count in just an year! Figure 1 | Natural Gas Drilling Rig Count in the United States, Year-on-Year Comparison The year-on-year drop is taking place across every shale. The largest decline is in Marcellus, followed by Haynesville, the ... » read more
Tuesday Feb 2, 2016   
  The Columbia River and aluminum smelting have been inextricably linked since the 1940’s. In December 1939, BPA signed a contract with Alcoa to provide 32.5 MW of power to its smelter in Vancouver, Washington. Other aluminum smelters were soon constructed throughout the Northwest, providing vital material for the war effort and bringing industry and jobs to many corners of the region. Boeing was busy building warplanes and was a primary customer of Northwest smelters during World War II. It has been estimated that electricity from Grand Coulee Dam alone ... » read more
Monday Feb 1, 2016   
Saturday's CAISO auction clear gave us a glimpse of what might be in store come Q2 as load was down, solar was strong, in-state wind spiked and imports from the Pacific Northwest were plentiful now that the DC intertie is back in the mix.  As a result, congestion on Path 15 showed up south to north as the excess MW tried to find a home. Figure 1 | Congestion on Path 15 S to N - 1/30/2016 As you can see in Figure 1, the bottleneck showed up between HE 10 and HE 15, which is right in the heart of the solar profile reaching its peak.  Breaking it down, HE 7-12 ... » read more
Friday Jan 29, 2016   
Earlier this week we sent out a newsletter stating how the Pacific Northwest grid was going to be getting longer, well those days are upon us as load has shifted down due to above normal temperatures moving through the West. This has shifted the overall power load profile down across the majority of balancing authorities as well as heating demand.  Figure 1 | Actual vs/ Forecast Weather - West Cities Up in the Pacific Northwest, the warmer weather impacted the supply side as well, specifically the hydro bucket where any precipitation was in the form of rain ... » read more
Thursday Jan 28, 2016   
As of early December 2015, the NYISO started releasing the real-time supply stack fuel mix.  This is similar data to what other ISO’s such as CAISO, MISO, SPP and NEPOOL release on a daily basis.  This information is pertinent as it tells us how much of each generation type is running.  Below is a breakout of the NYISO supply component’s capacity and the respective percentage to the overall total capacity. Figure 1| NYISO 2015 Supply Stack Capacity - Gen Type   For those of you unfamiliar with NYISO two things will jump out at you. » read more
Wednesday Jan 27, 2016   
Over the past week or so, the Pacific Northwest's hydro system has been kicking out more MW's than earlier in the month.  This is due to the fact that the recent precipitation West of the Cascades (rain) and warmer weather have increased the overall side flows on the Lower Columbia and Westside. Figure 1 | Side Flows - Lower Columbia/Snake Add to it, the fact that the Canadian flows out of International Boundary have picked up once again and Grand Coulee's inflows are averaging triple digits over the past two days. Figure 2 | EnergyGPS Short Term Hydro ... » read more
View more [ 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75 ]
Product Publications and Alerts
 
Recent Reports RSS Icon
 PNW Side Flow Forecast 2018-05-06  1:22 PM 
 NG Coal to Gas Ratio  1:17 PM 
 eReport: NYISO Daily Report - ...  1:17 PM 
 SPP DA LMP Prices 2018-04-27  1:04 PM 
 Nymex Settles 2018-04-26 - NG ...  12:32 PM 
 CAISO Transmission Flow Table ...  12:16 PM 
 CA Snow Water Dashboard 2018-0...  12:15 PM 
 Snow Water Maps 2018-04-26  12:12 PM 
 MISO DA LMP Prices 2018-04-27  12:09 PM 
 East DA LMP Prices 2018-04-27  12:09 PM 
 PJM Shadow and Anc Prices 2018...  12:05 PM 
 CAISO DA Hourly LMP Histogram ...  12:03 PM 
 CAISO LMP Prices with SP 2018-...  12:03 PM 
 CAISO SPTIE LMP 2018-04-27  12:03 PM 
 CAISO Transmission Market 2018...  12:03 PM 
 CAISO Supply Demand 2018-04-27  12:01 PM 
 CAISO DA Market Summary 2018-0...  11:59 AM 
 CAISO LMP Compare 4/27 SP: 19....  11:58 AM 
 CAISO SCE vs Wind 2018-04-27  11:58 AM 
 eFlash: CAISO LMP 2018-04-27  11:58 AM 
 CAISO Shadow and Anc Prices 20...  11:58 AM 
 CAISO LMP model is running: 20...  11:52 AM 
 Power | West Flat Monthly Cash...  11:42 AM 
 Power | West Off-Peak Monthly ...  11:42 AM 
 Power | West Peak Monthly Cash...  11:42 AM 
 ERCOT DA LMP Prices 2018-04-27  11:03 AM 
 ISONE DA LMP Prices 2018-04-27  9:51 AM 
 PJM DA LMP Prices 2018-04-27  9:43 AM 
 PNW Hydro Flash | Bill to Redu...  9:32 AM 
 eDash: PNW Hydro Elevations 20...  9:23 AM 
 NYISO Shadow and Anc Prices 20...  9:18 AM 
 CAISO Load Charts 2018-05-03  9:01 AM 
 eFlash: CAISO Load Forecast Up...  9:01 AM 
 NG California Supply/Demand Ta...  8:09 AM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 2018-0...  8:00 AM 
 EIA Weekly Gas Storage 2018-04...  7:30 AM 
 EIA Weekly Gas Storage Compari...  7:30 AM 
 AGT Pipeline Outage for 4/19/2018  7:19 AM 
 California Hydro | Daily Flow ...  7:15 AM 
 BC Snow Water Dashboard 2018-0...  7:06 AM 
 eFlash: PJM Load Forecast Upda...  7:00 AM 
 PJM Load Charts 2018-05-02  7:00 AM 
 NYISO DA LMP Prices 2018-04-27  6:38 AM 
 eReport: NG Daily Report - Can...  6:32 AM 
 eReport: PJM Morning Report - ...  6:17 AM 
 eReport: NG Daily Report - Sou...  6:07 AM 
 ISONE Morning Report - 2018-04-26  5:38 AM 
 NG Canadian Supply/Demand Tabl...  5:35 AM 
 NG New England - 2018-04-26  5:30 AM 
 NG Rockies - 2018-04-26  5:29 AM 
 eReport: NG Daily Report - Wes...  5:28 AM 
 NG DSW - 2018-04-26  5:28 AM 
 NG Midwest Central - 2018-04-26  5:26 AM 
 NG Midcont - 2018-04-26  5:25 AM 
 NG Midwest West - 2018-04-26  5:24 AM 
 CAISO Renewables 2018-04-27  5:22 AM 
 CAISO SCE vs Wind 2018-04-27  5:22 AM 
 EGPS PNW (Non-BPA) Wind MW For...  5:20 AM 
 PNW Renewables Curtailment 201...  5:16 AM 
 HDD/CDD Weather Table - 2018-0...  5:00 AM 
 NG Rockies Imports/Exports - 2...  5:00 AM 
 NG Canadian Imports - 2018-04-26  5:00 AM 
 NG Marcellus/Utica Production ...  5:00 AM 
 eDash: Gas Burn CA - 2018-04-26  5:00 AM 
 eDash: Gas Burn DSW - 2018-04-26  5:00 AM 
 eDash: Gas Burn PJM - 2018-04-26  5:00 AM 
 eDash: Gas Burn PNW - 2018-04-26  5:00 AM 
 eReport: ERCOT Morning Report ...  4:47 AM 
 Pacific NW S&D summary - 2018-...  4:45 AM 
 NG Chehalis Compressor - 2018-...  4:41 AM 
 Newsletter | Summer Algonquin ...  4:38 AM 
 eReport: NG Daily Report - Nor...  4:34 AM 
 EGPS Short Term Hydro Forecast...  4:32 AM 
 eReport: NG Daily Report - Nor...  4:30 AM 
 eReport: CAISO Morning Report ...  4:25 AM 
 eReport: PNW Morning Report - ...  4:25 AM 
 NG Mexican Exports - 2018-04-26  4:22 AM 
 eDash: PNW Daily Dashboard - ...  4:16 AM 
 WECC Load Table 2018-05-03  4:14 AM 
 ERCOT Daily Summary - 2018-04-26  4:10 AM 
 NRC Nuclear Change for 2018-04-26  4:09 AM 
 NRC Nuclear Daily Capacity 201...  4:09 AM 
 NRC Nuclear Daily Outages 2018...  4:09 AM 
 NRC Nuclear Plant Summary for ...  4:09 AM 
 EGPS CAISO Wind MW Forecast 20...  4:06 AM 
 AESO DA LMP Prices 2018-04-25  4:03 AM 
 eFlash: NYISO Load Forecast Up...  4:01 AM 
 NYISO Load Charts 2018-05-02  4:01 AM 
 NG Pwr Burn West - Pipeline 20...  4:01 AM 
 NG Pwr Burn West 2018-04-26  4:01 AM