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Special Research Reports
  
The Alberta Power and Natural Gas market continue to make the headlines as former is seeing its supply stack change with the retirement of coal plants and increased wind capacity. The latter is tied to what is happening with the summer maintenance restrictions as well as the production growth within the province. » read more
  
Over the years, the Rockies region has been a focal point in the West. With the landscape changing across several adjoining regions, the Rockies is once going to be in the spotlight. In this report, we detail the short, mid and long term fundamental changes impacting the overall production supply in the Rockies. » read more
Featured Articles
Monday Jan 29, 2018   
Carbon emission reduction bills are currently being heavily discussed in both Washington and Oregon.  While they have come up in the past, they have never made it to fruition.  This time it feels like they will indeed go through, though the timing of such I am uncertain.  Being a longtime utility employee with a pretty strong background in fundamentals, there ... » read more
Friday Jan 26, 2018   
Over the last few years EnergyGPS has done a number of battery analysis projects. For the most part, these projects entail figuring out how to dispatch a battery into a set of energy and ancillary service prices, while honoring project operating parameters – most notably state of charge, or stated another way, make sure that the battery doesn’t run out of juice ... » read more
Thursday Jan 25, 2018   
As we ended 2017 and began 2018, Mother Nature has reminded many what a cold winter feels like as every major area east of the Rockies, as well as down south into Texas, Louisiana, and Oklahoma have been hit with below normal temperatures. These types of cold fronts not only have an impact on more rescom demand but they also cause disruptions in natural gas ... » read more
Wednesday Jan 24, 2018   
ISONE recently released an "Operational Fuel-Security Analysis" report which examines the ISO's ability to reliably meet winter power demand as far out as 2024/2025.  As the report name indicates, the analysis primarily covers the grid's rapid conversion to natural gas and the operational risks that comes with relying on a single fuel source.  ... » read more
Tuesday Jan 23, 2018   
At EnergyGPS we love to see outliers in a data sets. It helps us to draw conclusions about supply demand dynamics in an extreme situation. For the past two winters, the warm conditions have left us in the dark as to how the PJM system would react noting the large amount of new combined cycle gas generation and subsequent retirement of over 35 GWs of coal capacity. The ... » read more
Monday Jan 22, 2018   
Last year at this time the west had the makings of an extremely robust water year.  Figure 1 shows the snow water equivalent (SWE) as a percent of normal last year at this time in the various states of the WECC.  While California's in-state totals aren't shown on this map, their source is the Sierra-Nevada's, which was 160-200% of normal last year at this ... » read more
Friday Jan 19, 2018   
EnergyGPS Consulting has been spending a lot of time in SPP lately. What is happening there with the wind build out is wild. From 2014 until the present they’ve added 12,000 MW of wind, bringing total installed capacity to approximately 20,000 MW. SPP has only had an integrated energy and ancillary services market with both day ahead and real time settlements since ... » read more
Thursday Jan 18, 2018   
ERCOT has been an early mover on renewable power. The Lone Star State reached over 9 GW of wind capacity as early as 2013. CAISO solar was still near infancy during the period with less than 2 GW in capacity. Even with the substantial wind portfolio in Texas, the renewable build-out is far from complete. Several projects have ... » read more
Wednesday Jan 17, 2018   
The EIA Drilling Productivity Report (DPR) was released today, providing some guidance for February natural gas production.  Before we dive into the new estimates let's have a quick recap of the rather volatile numbers we have seen over the last couple weeks. Heading into the end of 2017 we saw natural gas volumes continue to test new highs with total ... » read more
Tuesday Jan 16, 2018   
Last week we discussed the recent changes to the NGTL system in Alberta. A large increase in production plus a very warm December has put the current storage situation at record levels heading into next summer. As a result it is expected that there is not enough storage space in the province to handle the anticipated surplus. Over the past four months, the market has reacted ... » read more
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