Waking up to minus any temperature is not a pleasant feeling but when the wind chill takes the level to minus 20 to minus 40 degrees, things are flat out miserable. The polar vortex weather pattern that has captured North America is delivering such in some key regions across the northern portion of the United States while the south is dealing with its below normal temperatures as well.
Figure 1 | Polar Vortex – January 2025
The extreme conditions were not lost on the energy market, specifically natural gas as the demand numbers associated to the residential and commercial sector were rising from the low 50 BCF level to well over 65 BCF. The production sector was also getting caught in the crosshairs of Mother Nature as several regions started to see declines in output either by planned maintenance, normal reduction due to the colder temperatures or some form of unplanned outages known as freeze-offs. The first two allow for the volume to return in a timely fashion while the latter takes more time as crews will need to access the situation and go through the correct safety protocols before returning to service. It should be noted that we have seen more of the planned than unplanned given several regions have invested money in reliability and follow the protocols set forth by the agencies overseeing such.
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