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Webinar Series
Video seminars discussing issues in Power and Natural Gas markets.
 
Special Research Reports
In-depth analysis on the most significant developments in the energy space.
Saturday Nov 16, 2019   
A battery can sell three types of products: resource adequacy (RA), ancillary services , and energy. RA revenue is a function of the capacity market rules (e.g., size of battery and duration), and is generally procured on a monthly or annual basis. As such, RA value is not directly impacted by short term energy and ancillary prices or dispatch. Ancillary services, especially regulating reserves, are currently profitable, but the market for them is very small compared to the size of the energy market. In the CAISO, for example, the current regulating reserve market is about 300 MW of “reg up” and 300 MW of “reg down.” Historically, the regulating reserve market was served by flexible hydro and natural gas. » learn more
Saturday Oct 12, 2019   
This past January, ERCOT implemented the first part of scarcity price policy revisions from the Public Utility Commission of Texas. These changes, affecting the Operating Reserve Demand Curve adder (ORDC), were set to take place in two phases: at the beginning of 2019 and 2020. This past April, EGPS discussed the proposed first change and how it might affect ERCOT pricing. Now, at the end of the summer, it’s time to look ahead at the upcoming second change. This article presents an analysis where the frequency and level of ORDC adders is calculated using defined adjustments. We compute expected adjustments based on the known change to the ORDC adder coming March 2020 (Phase 2 adder) as well as some expected change to the net resource mix..... » learn more
Friday Oct 4, 2019   
The ‘Sumas Story’ started years ago when cold winter days in the Pacific Northwest had to compete with Northeast winter demand as AECO was the marginal molecule. This created a lively market that saw both Sumas and AGT cash gas prices shoot through the moon. As the grid was going through its evolution of pipeline expansions (REX) and on-shore production, the leverage of AECO diminished to a point that Sumas went to the wayside while AGT was still privy to the winter price spikes. Almost a year ago to the day of writing this report, the Pacific Northwest got a jolt (no pun intended) as the 36 inch Enbridge pipeline near Shelley, BC exploded with a ball of fire that was seen for miles...... » learn more
Thursday May 16, 2019   
EnergyGPS slides from the "Third Annual Northwest Wholesale Power Markets: Transition in Progress" conference by Newsdata LLC and CJB Energy. We explore the power demand, supply, and price conditions in the Pacific Northwest and California markets. » learn more
  
When it comes to Carbon Markets in the region, the Washington State had an initiative on the ballot a couple of years ago that had some traction but did not get over 50% allocated yes votes it needed to pass. Since that time, the groups that support a Carbon Market in the Pacific Northwest, specifically Washington, have put together another proposal that is known as Initiative 1631 and it is on the upcoming ballet on November 6th , 2018. » learn more
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Daily Newsletter
A daily brief covering variety of energy topics. Subscribe now to receive our newsletter to your inbox.
Monday Dec 9, 2019   
Over the past couple of weeks, California has been hit with some heavy duty storms, including this past weekend in the Bay Area where some of the streets in the city were flooded.  This is not uncommon but sometimes goes unrecognized to how it impacts the overall power grid.  The first ... » read more
Friday Dec 6, 2019   
It’s been over 2 months since the Northwest Power Pool (NWPP) grabbed the mic and declared that it’s leading the charge to move the Pacific Northwest power industry to a common framework that will assure resource adequacy.  In our October article, A Resource Adequacy Paradigm for ... » read more
Thursday Dec 5, 2019   
Over the past couple of days, the California grid lost some of its renewable energy as the cloud cover wiped several gigawatts of solar during the middle of the day.  As a result of such an event, the CAISO grid quickly priced itself at a level that warranted natrual gas units to set price as ... » read more
Wednesday Dec 4, 2019   
Over the past few days, we have seen some precipitation in Southern California. As a result, the solar profile within the CAISO footprint shifted quite a bit lower compared to what it looked like prior to the holiday weekend.  If you look at the chart in Figure 1, you can definitely ... » read more
Tuesday Dec 3, 2019   
We are now one month into the withdrawal season but it does not seem that way when you start to look at the storage inventory. Despite some early winter weather and the decline in natural gas prices the EIA inventory continues to expand the year on year storage surplus. Since the beginning of ... » read more
Monday Dec 2, 2019   
California always has a storyline when it comes to the energy sector.  In years past, you can travel as deep as the Energy Crisis to that of both SONGS nuclear units falling on defected rods and ultimately being retired.  Between each of the mentioned events was the aspect of the state ... » read more
Wednesday Nov 27, 2019   
Over the summer, we spent a lot of time talking about the bucket of hours where the power demand was quite high and the wind output within the ERCOT footprint was low.  When you threw in the increasing solar profile within the ISO footprint, you started to see some resemblence of the CAISO ... » read more
Tuesday Nov 26, 2019   
Coming into this winter, SoCal Gas was expected to have a much easier time balancing the system than in winters past. In the aftermath of the Aliso Canyon storage leak and the rupture of line 235, the gas balancing in Southern California has had to navigate a constant threat of reliability issues. » read more
Monday Nov 25, 2019   
The Thanksgiving holiday seems to be taking a backseat to both Halloween and Christmas as the stores move right from pumpkins to Christmas decorations.  That does not seem right in my book as the Thanksgiving holiday is one of my personal favorites as you get to just hang out and eat good ... » read more
Friday Nov 22, 2019   
Congestion on the grid is sometimes compared to driving on a highway during rush hour. The road can only fit so many cars, and once it reaches its limit, traffic slows down and new cars have a hard time entering. Likewise, due to transmission constraints, all of the low-cost energy that would like ... » read more
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Newsletter Power and Gas Articles
 Article | Wish List Tied to Solar Purchase  
 Article | The Desert Basis Story Purchase  
 Article | Mini Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Report | Battery Modeling using the TB4 Purchase  
 Report | Shouldering the Load Purchase  
 Monthly | Trick or Treating in the Weeds Purchase  
 Article | Some PJM Pain for Some Gain Purchase  
 Article | Google Renewable Auction Purchase  
 Article | Zooming Out on US Renewables Purchase  
 Report | ERCOT's Push and Pull Purchase  
 Article | The Constraint of the Day Purchase  
 Article | PacificParadigm Purchase  
 Monthly | Regional Sandboxes Purchase  
 Report | The Sumas Story Purchase  
 Article | Headed for retirement...CAISO Purchase  
 Article | Upcoming Flex Needed in the West Purchase  
 Article | What will the grid look like....? Purchase  
 Monthly | Everything is big in Texas Purchase  
 Article | Back to School in the West Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Evolution Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Renewables - Looking For... Purchase  
 Article | Profit Shaping - ERCOT Renewables Purchase  
 Article | Partly Cloudy with a chance of? Purchase  
 Monthly | Three Days in ERCOT Purchase  
 Article | Summer Chill Purchase  
 Article | Brew Fest Purchase  
 Article | SoCal Gas Summer Fundamentals Purchase  
 Article | Cap and Trade Tightness? Purchase  
 Article | The Storage Story - Chapter 2 Purchase  
 Article | Officially Summer? Purchase  
 Article | The Battery Storage Story Purchase  
 Monthly | Renewed Interest in the Renewa... Purchase  
 Article | Champion of the Energy Sector Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Reliability Percentages Purchase  
 Monthly | Flowers in May? Purchase  
 Article | Hydro doing these days? Purchase  
 Article | California's Summer Balance Purchase  
 Article | Opportunity Comes in Many Forms Purchase  
 Article | Renewable CCA Purchase  
 Article | The Pick Is In..... Purchase  
 Article | Changes in ERCOT Scarcity Pricing Purchase  
 Monthly | Swinging for the Fence Purchase  
 Article | The Waha Squeeze Play Purchase  
 Article | Seriously, how do batteries ma... Purchase  
 Article | The Power of Price in the Burns Purchase  
 Article | Power On......  
 Report | End of Winter Season - NG Balance Purchase  
 Article | The Storage (Battery) Story Purchase  
 Monthly | The Pacific Northwest Acronym ... Purchase  
 Article | The New EIM Market Purchase  
 Article | The Hydro Bed Purchase  
 Article | Alberta's Growing Demand Purchase  
 Report | Ruby or Not Ruby? Purchase  
 Article | The Pomona Battery Purchase  
 Monthly | Whacky Weather and Wind Purchase  
 Article | Timing Is Everything Purchase  
 Article | Natural Gas Balancing Act Purchase  
 Article | Deep Purple - Arctic Blast Purchase  
 Article | Not Any More!!!!! Purchase  
 Article | Significance of December 27th,... Purchase  
 Monthly | Tis the Season Purchase  
 Article | California - What a Year???!!! Purchase  
 Article | West Returning to the Danger Z... Purchase  
 Article | The 'Eyes of Texas' on Wind Purchase  
 Monthly | 'Fro-Vember' Purchase  
 Article | Trend is your Friend Purchase  
 Report | MISO’s Excess/Deficient Deviati... Purchase  
 Article | Sumas heading into Xmas Purchase  
 Article | Summer SoCal in November and B... Purchase  
 Article | Centralized Capacity Market De... Purchase  
 Monthly | The Battle Royale Purchase  
 Article | Coal Retirements and Natural G... Purchase  
 Article | Mother Nature, did you see tha...  
 Article | SOS - Sumas Over SoCal Purchase  
 Article | The West Playground Purchase  
 Monthly | Hunting for Red October  
 Article | The 2017-2018 Water Year in a ...  
 Article | The Severity of Florence Purchase  
 Article | Two Discussion Points Around S... Purchase  
 Article | US Open Heat Event Purchase  
 Monthly | Two out of Three Completed Purchase  
 Article | Now there are Two!!! Purchase  
 Article | A Breath Of Fresh Air Purchase  
 Article | The Motion Purchase  
 Article | Early August 2018 Purchase  
 Article | Winners and Losers Tied to the... Purchase  
 Monthly | Is the Best Pitch a Heater , C... Purchase  
 Article | The Dog Days of Summer Purchase  
 Article | Hear That Music? Purchase  
 Article | Powering the Gas Markets in th... Purchase  
 Article | LeHeat in LA Purchase  
 Article | Heat of the Moment Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT, A Healthy Supply Stack.... Purchase  
 Monthly | A Quarter for Your Thoughts Purchase  
 Article | PJM's Capacity Performance Obl... Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT Market Report Purchase  
 Article | ERCOT's Price Spike Purchase  
 Article | Weather or Hot (Cold) Purchase  
 Monthly | Summer Right Around the Corner Purchase  
 Article | Play Me Some Mountain Music Purchase  
 Article | The Heat is On (the ERCOT Stack) Purchase  
 Article | What is your CCV code West Power? Purchase  
 Article | Basis of Natural Gas's Existence Purchase  
 Article | Tensions Rising in Southern Ca... Purchase  
 Article | Welcome Back BPA Curtailments Purchase  
 Article | Wind, Where Have You Gone? Purchase  
 Article | MayDay - Curtailments Purchase  
 Monthly | April Cold Brings May? Purchase  
 Article | A Look at the Renewable Landscape  
 Article | The 'basis' of SoCal Citygate'... Purchase  
 Article | Alberta Power's Mid-Month Update  
 Article | Expect the Unexpected - SPP Wi...  
 Article | Virtual Tour with Mother Nature  
 Article | The Fools Fool  
 Monthly | April Fooling  
 Article | The CAISO's Big Three  
 Article | That Pesky Groundhog!!!  
 Article | Track the Tracker  
 Monthly | A Tale of Two Cities.....  
 Article | Central Vertical Corridor  
 Article | Sneak Preview of CAISO Curtail...  
 Article | Storage 1,2,3  
 Article | Glimpse of what is to come in ...  
 Monthly | Back to Where We Belong???  
 Article | Armageddon in February Across ...  
 Article | Digging in the South Central R...  
 Article | What is going on with Power Burns  
 Monthly | SoCal Citygate Hype??.  
 Monthly | I Just Cleaned This Mess!  
 Monthly | Constraints Everywhere?..  
 Article | Keeping an Eye on the Fundamen...  
 Monthly | A Dry/Warm October  
 Monthly | The Fall Classic  
 Article | AECO, the Red October  
 Article | SCEeeee What is Happening with...  
 Article | Snap, Crackle and Pop  
 Article | Heated Curtailments  
 Article | What Becomes of the CAISO Supp...  
 Article | AECO, watching out below!!  
 Monthly | Storm Chaser  
 Monthly | H(arvey), I(rma), J???  
 Monthly | Blink  
 Monthly | Cash is King  
 Monthly | Texas Blowhard  
 Monthly | Wagon Queen Family Truckster  
 Monthly | May Flowers?  
 Monthly | The Dog Days of Winter  
 Monthly | Convicted  
 Monthly | Spread It On!  
 Monthly | Cold meet Precipitation  
 Monthly | The ICE in the Dog Bowl  
 Monthly | Emperor's New Clothes  
 Article | What have we learned from Alis...  

Product Publications and Alerts
 
Recent Reports RSS Icon
 ERCOT System Msg - Active 0...  8:22 AM 
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 EGPS Short Term Hydro Forec...  4:38 AM 
 eDash: PGAE NG Dashboard - ...  4:35 AM 
 PJM Load Charts 2019-12-15  4:30 AM 
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 eDash: PNW-BC NG Dashboard ...  4:24 AM 
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 eDash: PNW Daily Dashboard...  4:16 AM 
 eFlash: NYISO Load Forecast...  4:15 AM 
 NYISO Load Charts 2019-12-15  4:15 AM 
 EGPS CAISO Wind MW Forecast...  4:08 AM 
 AESO DA LMP Prices 2019-12-08  4:03 AM 
 AGT Pipeline Balance - 2019...  4:02 AM 
 NG Pwr Burn West - Pipeline...  4:01 AM 
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 HDD/CDD Gas Demand BCF Tabl...  3:52 AM 
 Liquified Natural Gas (LNG)...  3:46 AM 
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 EGPS Hydro Forecast for WY2...  3:45 AM 
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 West | Spark Prices 2019-12-02  3:36 AM 
 EGPS NYISO Wind MW Forecast...  3:34 AM 
 CAISO EIM Summary - 2019-12-08  3:32 AM 
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 NG Regional Demand Forecast...  3:16 AM 
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 NG Power Burns - 2019-12-09  3:15 AM 
 SPP Daily Summary - 2019-12-09  3:12 AM 
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 North America Net Load Summ...  3:12 AM 
 ERCOT Daily Summary - 2019-...  3:10 AM 
 eFlash: ISONE Load Forecast...  3:05 AM 
 ISONE Load Charts 2019-12-14  3:05 AM 
 Alberta Power Pool Daily Su...  3:04 AM 
 eDash: Transmission Flows 2...  3:02 AM 
 ERCOT Real-Time Dashboard 2...  3:02 AM 
 EGPS PJM Wind MW Forecast 2...  1:48 AM 
 PNW Snow Water Dashboard 20...  1:02 AM 
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