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Tuesday Oct 3, 2017   
Over the apst two month there has been a large shift in the Northeast natural gas cash markets in relationship to the benchmark Henry Hub. At the beginning of the summer, most forecasts had the Northeast gas price relationships to the Henry Hub much stronger than where they ended up liquidating. A number of factors have played out in the market including ... » read more
Monday Oct 2, 2017   
As of yesterday, October 1st 2017, Portland General Electric (PGE) is officially apart of CAISO's Energy Imbalance Market (EIM).  This entails many items, but the first one I took a look at was the transfer capacity between the CAISO and PGE's system as it will be another tentacle that will allow megawatts to move out of the CAISO land and up into the Pacific Northwest ... » read more
Friday Sep 29, 2017   
I learned a lot of really useful stuff in graduate school. I really did. One of my favorite classes was Advanced Micro-Economic Theory taught by Professor Lee Friedman. We covered a lot of ground in that class. There were a lot of graphs and formulas. Some of it was pretty dry stuff. One of the most memorable things that I learned in that class was a definition of an ... » read more
Thursday Sep 28, 2017   
With September coming to an end, we thought it would be good to take a look at what is in store for October when it comes to the Algonquin pipeline maintenance schedule.  As you recall, last year saw a bit upgrade project take place over the summer months as they wanted to be ready for the Winter 2016-2017 season. The first thing ... » read more
Wednesday Sep 27, 2017   
The first day Autumn technically started on the 22nd but the optimist in me likes to believe that Summer lasts at least through the end of September.  Looking at the forecasted CDD (Cooling Degree Days) it seems my optimistic view paid off as heat remains above normal through the end of the Month.  Figure 1 |ConUS ... » read more
Tuesday Sep 26, 2017   
Post Hurricane Harvey, the South Central region surrounding the Haynesville production was a key component to the supply/demand balance being question.  As we noted in one of our natural gas market flashes sent out to clients, the production output dipped down with both Louisiana and Texas both showing a similar trend.  Once we got into the month of September, the ... » read more
Monday Sep 25, 2017   
It is that time of year again when the National Football League (NFL) and the NFL Ticket become my weather reporter across the country.  Many of the teams/fans in the Northeast were quite warm as the fans were blowing cold air on them while they sat on the sidelines.  In Tennessee, the Seattle team looked winded from the get go, but maybe that was just their ... » read more
Friday Sep 22, 2017   
Where does weather end and climate change begin? That is, when does weather have to be so extreme that it indicates an underlying shift in the climate versus the natural variation in day-to-day, week-to-week, and year-to-year weather? I think that greenhouse gas emissions from humans is raising the level of carbon in the atmosphere. I also think that the higher atmospheric ... » read more
Thursday Sep 21, 2017   
Coming out of the weekend, the 1-5 day forecast was showing above normal weather across most of the country except the West.  This was a stark contrast to what we saw throughout the month of August and the early part of September in the Midwest and Northeast. In fact, those two regions saw one of the mildest August months on record.  As a result, the power burn ... » read more
Wednesday Sep 20, 2017   
Here in the PNW it feels as if someone flipped a switch as what was one of the hottest and driest summers on record has suddenly given way to cooler temperatures and torrential downpours.  While the change was quite sudden, it doesn't come as a surprise as the end of September/beginning of October marks a weather transition across the entire country. » read more
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