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Thursday Dec 21, 2017   
Load has been declining on the West Coast for the past decade. Several factors contribute to the load reduction such as energy efficiency, as well as more conservative energy usage by the end user. However, a main player in the reduction of year-over-year CAISO load is solar energy. Small solar installations are hidden from the real-time fuel mix and are known as ... » read more
Wednesday Dec 20, 2017   
At the end of last week the various weather runs all pointed to temperatures coming in around normal over the Christmas holiday.  Starting this past weekend and proceeding into this week we have continued to add HDDs to the forecast for the final week in December.  Yesterday morning's model run showed a 38 HDD forecast (Euro Ensemble) for the 25th which ... » read more
Tuesday Dec 19, 2017   
On Friday, FERC gave approval for the Rover Pipeline to put into service a number of laterals and compressors that are intended to bring additional flows for the east-to-west service. This is just another step in expanding the Rover Pipeline footprint eastward to several processing stations in Pennsylvania and West Virginia.  ... » read more
Monday Dec 18, 2017   
It was a year ago this week that Portland landed 14 inches of snow at the lowest elevation levels within the city as an unique inversion weather pattern swooped in and trapped the precipitation front moving up from California and the colder jet stream off the North Pacific.  It was so unique that the likes of Seattle and Spokane saw hardly any snow.  Such a storm ... » read more
Friday Dec 15, 2017   
You are probably tired of hearing about bitcoins by now. You may be a Luddite and eschew technology. Or you may be like me, trying to wrap your brain around the concept which results in a headache. Or perhaps you are jealous of those lucky bitcoin owners who have reaped huge digital (as opposed to paper) profits. Or maybe you are tired of hearing your co-worker talk about ... » read more
Thursday Dec 14, 2017   
The extreme amount of solar in the California ISO has completely changed the net load profile. Solar generators can ramp to their maximum capacity within a few hours and produce at high capacity factors until the sun begins to set, reducing output to nothing by the time dinner is served. The solar capacity in the Cal-ISO has increased over the last five years going from a ... » read more
Wednesday Dec 13, 2017   
Power Burns have been ripping this December as Monday settles around 28.5 BCF with Tuesday coming in just above 30 BCF.  Total ConUS gas burns are tending 4.8 BCF/d above last year's December average and well above the 2015 average as well.  Figure 1 | ConUS Daily Power Burns ... » read more
Tuesday Dec 12, 2017   
The market is now a month and a half into the winter withdrawal season and it is time to do a little recap into what we have seen so far. According to NOAA, the total population weighted heating degree days for the month of November came in at 488.That was 51 less than normal making this another start to a warm winter for the Lower 48. From an outright demand standpoint, the ... » read more
Monday Dec 11, 2017   
If you have watched the natural gas forward market the past week, you have seen nothing but a downward movement which has been led by a warmer forecast hitting the Lower 48 in the 6-10 day period and pull some of the colder weather out of the 11-15 day timeframe.  The one area of country that has been strong has been the SoCal Citygate spot prices as planned and ... » read more
Friday Dec 8, 2017   
Last weekend I was sitting in a restaurant in Portland enjoying a taco for lunch. My family was sharing our table with a single diner, so we struck up a conversation. She mentioned that she is the proud new owner of an electric vehicle. And she proclaimed that she was really excited to be driving a ZERO emission vehicle. She said it in a way that led me to believe that she ... » read more
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