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Tuesday May 23, 2017   
Each day we are tasked with balancing the different supply and demand components across the Lower 48 in an effort to track the storage activity. It is a monumental task that utilizes an enormous amount of data from pipelines and storage operators. One of the components we compile data for is tied to the amount of gas that gets imported from Canada. We break the pipeline ... » read more
Monday May 22, 2017   
Now that we are in the back half of May and June is right around the corner, the power loads are going to come into play across the Lower 48.  This will directly tie into the power burn component of the Natural Gas supply/demand balance.  In recent years, the influx of Renewables across the country has made us look at the power burns from a net load perspective. » read more
Friday May 19, 2017   
  On May 1st the CAISO published a report entitled "Flexible Resource Adequacy Criteria and Must Offer Obligations -- Phase 2. Revised Straw Proposal -- Short Term Solutions." The title alone can put the reader to sleep. Despite the dry title and ... » read more
Thursday May 18, 2017   
If you have been tracking the weather in the Pacific Northwest this spring, it would not surprise you that there is plenty of snowpack still left up in the mountains as we head into the last half of May. The reason for all this snowpack is tied to the below normal temperatures we have been having as well as plenty of precipitation in a month that is suppose to bring us ... » read more
Wednesday May 17, 2017   
As the renewable story continues to unfold in CAISO, we have been closely watching the balance between over-generation and negative prices this spring. The CAISO Curtailments dashboard is an invaluable tool as it shows how much renewable generation is getting curtailed due to over supply in the RT. The report breaks the MWs out by wind or solar, but also indicates ... » read more
Tuesday May 16, 2017   
Starting today, the eastern half of the United States will see its first taste of hot weather. From Chicago over to the I-95 corridor and down to the Southeast, daytime highs will move up 8-15 degrees above normal. Overnight lows across the Midwest and East are moving up to the low 70's which will bring cooling demand around the clock.  From today into Thursday, the PJM ... » read more
Monday May 15, 2017   
Entering the weekend, all the stars were aligned for renewable curtailments to exist.  The first element is tied to the load schedules shifting down with cooler temperatures as well as it being a Saturday and Sunday profile. Figure 1 | CAISO Load Day-Ahead Schedules - Hourly ... » read more
Friday May 12, 2017   
Word broke this week that Calpine is actively looking for a buyer. The Wall Street Journal provided the following summary of the situation: “The Houston company, which owns 80 power plants and has a so-called enterprise value of more than $16 billion, is working with investment bankers at Lazard to sound out possible buyers ... » read more
Thursday May 11, 2017   
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issues a report every week that breaks down the open interest of the natural gas market by participant category. The intent of the report is to make sure no one group of traders has an undue influence on price in an effort to keep an orderly outcome. From the CFTC posting, we can gather plenty of information about total size of the ... » read more
Wednesday May 10, 2017   
Followers of the CAISO market or readers of this newsletter will be well aware of the issues surrounding California's large renewable generation portfolio which has occasionally driven negative price over DA HL hours.  The negative prices typically clear through the middle of the day as solar generation ramps in.  April saw multiple negative clears as shoulder ... » read more
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