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Monday Sep 18, 2017   
I am not sure what time of year, let alone what day of week, it is sometimes when kids soccer overlaps with work on the weekends as both are full-time jobs.  The one thing that is becoming clear in the market, the California grid is getting close to the point that the renewable fleet will start to take over and real-time curtailments are in play.  That is evident ... » read more
Friday Sep 15, 2017   
The CAISO never ceases to fascinate us here at EnergyGPS. It is intriguing on so many levels. One level is the operational challenges that arise from high levels of renewables. It’s just darn interesting seeing what new stresses are placed on the grid and how the grid reacts. And I give the CAISO credit for providing a reasonable amount of transparency on the issues. » read more
Thursday Sep 14, 2017   
Over the past 14 days, the California hydro picture has change drastically as 600 MWa have left the market. Figure 1 | CAISO Hydro Generation Table/Chart - Hourly/Daily Averages Looking ... » read more
Wednesday Sep 13, 2017   
Flipping through the news feed yesterday my jaw dropped as images of Irma’s destruction began to roll in.  Early in the afternoon yesterday, CNN had a graphic on the front page indicating that roughly 5.4 Million Floridians and another 1.1 million in the surrounding states were without power as the devastation had down powerlines across the southeastern US. » read more
Tuesday Sep 12, 2017   
This has been a big year for pipeline maintenance in the Pacific Northwest. Spectra Pipeline, which runs from British Columbia down into Washington State and the NGTL system which gathers and distributes gas in Alberta have seen a summer full of capacity cuts limiting the amount of shipped gas on their systems. This has reduced the amount of imports to the United States ... » read more
Monday Sep 11, 2017   
As the weekend approached last Friday all our thoughts and prayers were will the state of Florida as the second Category 4 or higher hurricane was barreling down on Cuba and headed for the southern tip of Florida.  Most of the storm trackers has the eye of the storm pointed to Miami or the eastern side of the state.  After a little westward adjustment on Saturday ... » read more
Friday Sep 8, 2017   
The “spread trade” is the life blood of energy markets. It is simple in concept – you purchase one instrument and sell another one against it – betting that the value of the two instruments will come together (sell the spread) or increase (buy the spread). In most cases, a spread trade is lower risk than buying or selling something outright because it ... » read more
Thursday Sep 7, 2017   
If you live in the Pacific Northwest, you are well aware of the Eagle Creek fire that caught ablaze this past Saturday and by Tuesday not only spread ashes all over Portland but with the east winds picking up allowed the fire to jump the Columbia River and start burning on the Washington side as well.  Prior to the fire, the entire West was heating up as Portland saw ... » read more
Wednesday Sep 6, 2017   
Conditions have snapped back to normal in California this week after the CAISO saw record breaking demand last Friday.  Cooler temperatures across the West coast has chopped nearly 9 GWs off the evening peak load forecasts for Wednesday compared to last Friday.  Figure 1 | DA CAISO Cleared Demand – 9/6 vs 9/1 ... » read more
Tuesday Sep 5, 2017   
This is the third and final installment in a series about the Northwest aluminum industry. In the first segment we described the link between aluminum markets and electricity pricing. In the second segment we described the rise and then precipitous fall of the Northwest aluminum industry. Today we describe the struggles of the small number of smelters who attempted to ... » read more
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