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Tuesday Jul 18, 2017   
Temperature east of the Mississippi River are going to take a material turn higher this week. Thursday through Saturday's forecast is showing the day-time highs stretch into the mid to high 90's which will put this as the hottest days of the summer thus far. Compounding the heat will be high humidity making the indexes near triple digits. PJM peak load is expected to climb ... » read more
Monday Jul 17, 2017   
After spending the weekend in San Jose for a Futsal tournament (the Brazilian sport that is a combination of soccer on a smaller field with more action), I got to see first hand how the weather in Northern California fares throughout the day.  In the morning/late evening hours the breeze cools things off to a point that a sweatshirt is needed.  During the day, the ... » read more
Friday Jul 14, 2017   
We are nearly at the midway point of the month and have seen quite a bit of action in California as temperatures across the West have trended above normal.  Despite the heat, the DA cleared demand is virtually flat compared to last year.  Figure 1 | Average Hourly CAISO DA Load - July 2017 vs 2016 HL ... » read more
Thursday Jul 13, 2017   
Over the past few days, the CAISO day-ahead auction has been showing some congestion within its footprint.  Such constraints have been having an impact on the external nodes as both Malin and Sylmar have shifted down quite a bit compared to SP15. Figure 1 | CAISO Day-Ahead Price/Heat Rate Breakdown for 7/13/2017 ... » read more
Wednesday Jul 12, 2017   
The above average heat in California over the last couple weeks combined with a decline in imports from the broiling DSW has been the primary focus in the market.  The onset of summer has taken our attention away from what was previously a main focus in CAISO which is the sensationally strong hydro year.  Looking at generation by fuel type over the last 5 days ... » read more
Tuesday Jul 11, 2017   
Earlier this spring, there was an unfortunate accident at one of the drilling sites for the new ETC Rover Pipeline. One of the drilling contractors spilled several milion gallons of waste water into a watershed in Stark County Ohio. FERC responded by putting a moratorium on drilling until clean up has been completed and a reassurance that the work can be completed safely. » read more
Monday Jul 10, 2017   
My weekend was filled with a local soccer tournament as both my son and daughter were playing from Friday afternoon to Sunday evening.  Each day was filled with exciting matches as my daughter's girls 2006 squad played some of the best teams in the Portland Metro area.  My son's 2004 squad played up a year and let me tell you what a different in size 12-16 months ... » read more
Friday Jul 7, 2017   
EnergyGPS’ consulting practice does a lot of long term modeling and valuation work. We help people estimate what energy assets will be worth in the future. A lot of this work relates to renewable assets. Perhaps the two most common questions we receive are: (1) can day-ahead prices really go negative? and (2) how deeply negative can they go? Experience in California ... » read more
Thursday Jul 6, 2017   
If you were around the waterfront in Portland, OR over the 4th of July you would have been exposed to the annual Blues Music Festival, fireworks and clear blue skies as temperatures started to warm up with highs in the low 80's.  At the end of Salmon Street downtown, by the Willamette River, the children were doing their version of the Sun Dance as they played in ... » read more
Wednesday Jul 5, 2017   
Over the past 6 months, the Pacific Northwest has experienced one of the top six wettest winters on record and the hydro generation output has definitely been evident to that through most of June. Figure 1 | Pacific Northwest Hydro Generation - Flat Daily Average ... » read more
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